BMO Capital Markets
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Public sector dollar issuance has had a slower start to the year than usual — in part because of super strong conditions in other currencies — but SSA bankers are confident the strength of the deals that did come this week will boost the pipeline. -
The European Investment Bank and Bank Nederlandse Gemeenten showed the strength of the dollar market on Tuesday as they sparked the sector into life for 2019 with benchmarks offering minimal concession. Another pair of SSAs are hoping to emulate that success on Wednesday.
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The dollar market for public sector borrowers begins in earnest on Wednesday with a pair of borrowers out with benchmarks and bankers confident the deals will go well thanks to a demand/supply imbalance. The trades follow a small floater tap from a supranational on Monday that was the first syndicated deal of the year in the currency.
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ABN Amro and LBBW issued perfectly respectable, though uninspiring, euro covered bond trades on Thursday, deals that stood in contrast to a heroic deal from Bank of Montreal (BMO).
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After a year during which euro issuance from SSAs has far outstripped that in dollars, thanks to the vagaries of the euro/dollar basis swap, a German agency was able to nip in to a funding week shortened by US elections and central bank meetings to score a strong result with its sole dollar benchmark of the year.
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Rentenbank and Eurofima showed that Tuesday’s midterm elections in the US might be hogging most television airwaves but they have been making little waves in the dollar SSA market.
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A pair of public sector borrowers are looking to eke out the last bit of cash from the dollar market before it shuts down for the US mid-term elections on Tuesday night.
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Investors were in defensive mode in the dollar market this week as they snapped up short dated trades and floating rate notes, with demand particularly heavy from central banks and official institutions. Bankers are hopeful that benchmark supply will return next week.
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The European Stability Mechanism priced its second ever dollar benchmark at a “fair” level of around 5bp over European Investment Bank’s September 2020, according to onlooking SSA bankers. Elsewhere in the dollar SSA market, Inter-American Development and NRW.Bank mandated banks for floating rate notes.
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