Americas

In a panel on new markets at Wednesday’s European Covered Bond Council plenary session it was stated that much hyped US covered bond legislation might not materialise until 2014. But with the OCC and not FDIC likely to be the US covered bond regulator for big banks, a market size of up to $640bn is seen. The Canadian covered bond market is likely to lack homogeneity as non federally regulated borrowers are excluded from the law.

Crédit Mutuel-CIC Home Loan SFH kept the euro market alive on Tuesday with an increase of an outstanding 10 year trade. The €200m tap is the sum total of primary issuance in the last week, though Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce proved the dollar segment’s resilience to market volatility by taking supply over the same period to $7bn.

Against a backdrop of pervasive hesitancy in the euro market, triple-A rated Toronto Dominion Bank launched the largest ever dollar deal on Wednesday. The $5bn dual tranche trade broke the record held by HBOS, which sold a $3bn 10 year trade in 2007.

Following the US downgrade, the dollar market for triple-A rated bonds has been reduced from around $15,000bn to $136bn, closing the market to dedicated triple A buyers. Covered bonds should benefit, but with up to 40% likely to be downgraded within a year, buyers will need to be selective.

Fitch downgraded Washington Mutual’s covered bonds from AA+ to AA on Monday, because deterioration in US payment-option and interest-only hybrid adjustable rate mortgages (ARM) has increased loss expectations on the cover pool.

Bank of Nova Scotia on Tuesday printed a $2bn 2.15% five year deal, continuing a recent trend of non-European issuers and markets providing primary covered bond supply.

Peripheral covered bonds lagged widening sovereign debt in the secondary market on Wednesday morning, which was triggered by the German finance minister’s warning that the bond buyback programme needed limits. Despite the comment, some traders reported a surprisingly constructive tone, especially when compared with recent weeks. The closure of the European primary market did not however preclude Canada’s Bank of Nova Scotia from issuing a US dollar benchmark which, by virtue of the strong order book, was increased and priced at the tight end of the guidance range.

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce found a window for issuance amid market volatility on Thursday, launching its third Australian dollar deal of the year. In a difficult week for all asset classes, market participants said the A$600m three and a half year benchmark showed covered bonds are living up to their billing as a genuinely global product.

Primary issuance returned to the covered bond market on Monday when Korea Housing Finance Corporation sold $500m of five and a half year bonds. It is the first deal in the international market since July 5, but market participants say it does not herald a rejuvenation of supply - particularly for Europeans, who were glaringly underrepresented in allocation.

Korea Housing Finance Corporation has opened books on its second ever covered bond, a $500m five and a half year transaction. US book building has yet to commence, but with the book already twice covered on the back of strong demand from Asia and Europe, a good reception seems likely. The deal is expected to price later today.

BNP Paribas has launched the first dollar covered bond index that includes non-SEC registered transactions, which make up nearly all of dollar denominated covered supply. But the French bank will need market interest to legitimise the decision to include bonds that are not allowed on other leading indices, according to market participants.

A change in leadership at the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation seems unlikely to make the organisation more receptive to US covered bond legislation in its current form. Rating agency DBRS reports that vice chairman Martin Gruenberg believes that in the event of a bank failure, the FDIC and not investors should have first rights on excess covered bond collateral.