Covered Bonds
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Finnish issuers Sampo Housing Loan Bank and Aktia Real Estate Mortgage Bank came to market on Tuesday. Aktia began taking indications of interest on its Eu500m five year trade following Sampo opening books on a 10 year deal, which will be priced later today.
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Standard & Poor's lowered the sovereign rating of Greece from B to CCC on Monday, and removed it from credit watch negative, though the outlook remains negative. The rating agency believes the cut could have a negative effect on four Greek covered bond issuers.
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The introduction of specific Canadian covered bond legislation “would be positive, and would likely provide further assurances for investors”, according to Standard & Poor’s. However, the rating agency emphasised that a codified covered bond law is not enough in itself to merit good ratings. Outstanding concerns include: limits to overcollateralisation, the lack of refinancing options after a segregation event, and Canada’s particular preference for demand loans to finance SPEs.
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Demand from insurance companies and pension funds for covered bonds has increased this year, according to Barclays research, while interest from central banks and asset managers has fallen. Germany and Austria are the only regions where overall investor interest for covered bonds has decreased noticeably, though in some jurisdictions investors have participated far less in issuance from certain countries.
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Secondary market covered bond trading activity is clearly biased to the sell side with weakness in Italian and Spanish government bonds, undermining spreads in those regions, but selective French bonds are also weaker. However, price action has been more heavily influenced in the belly of the curve, and the wings have held in. Bund yields continue to trend lower amidst hopes of a trend reversal.
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Moody’s placed mortgage backed covered bonds issued by Banco Santander Totta (BST) on review for possible downgrade on Friday, after placing BST on rating watch negative on June 9.
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Fitch downgraded cédulas hipotecárias issued by Caja de Ahorros y Monte de Piedad de Navarra from AA+ to AA on Friday, and removed them from rating watch negative, following a downgrade of the issuer rating from A- to BBB+.
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Moody’s increased the refinancing margins and lowered the timely payment indicators (TPI) from very high to high on 12 Danish covered bond programmes on Friday, following a rise in adjustable-rate mortgage loans (ARM) in Danish cover pools.
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The UK’s Leeds Building Society issued the first sterling denominated covered bond for two months this week. The £250m 4.25% December 2018 was priced on Wednesday in line with guidance at Gilts plus 165bp through joint leads Barclays Capital and HSBC.
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Westpac New Zealand became the second ever Kiwi bank to issue a euro covered bond when it priced a Eu1bn five year deal on Thursday. Fund managers and central banks snapped up the paper, seeing good value relative to core issuers, and took the opportunity to make investments away from European volatility. Investors will be eagerly anticipating further issuance out of New Zealand, with ANZ NZ next in the pipeline.
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Borrowers from peripheral and core jurisdictions priced over Eu6bn worth of benchmark covered bonds across three currencies this week, which included inaugural deals from Italian and New Zealand issuers. Prospects for supply next week are similarly diverse, though volatility and European holidays may narrow the window for issuance.