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◆ Sovereign rides post-EU momentum, beats size target ◆ Deal priced flat to fair value ◆ Thuringia oversubscribed but Länder books shrink
French government vote and EU syndication to shape market in coming days
◆ Other recent German deals finished uncovered ◆ RV against KfW was important ◆ Some argue outcome 'not great'
◆ Third SSA in a week gets low demand ◆ Starting level 'seemed good approach' but fails to draw appetite ◆ Coupon level gives hope in secondary trading
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It was another sparkling week in dollars for public sector borrowers, with Asian Development Bank the pick of the bunch as it brought the tightest deal of the year so far versus Libor and US Treasuries. More supply is expected for next week, although some SSA bankers feel the market could do with a “breather”. -
Wider euro spreads versus swaps and Bunds had already led to some superstrong trades in the currency this year, but Spain outdid them all this week with the largest ever book for a public sector euro benchmark. Every other euro deal also attracted heavy oversubscription with minimal concession, paving the way for expected supply next week from a “large German agency in the short end” and a “central European sovereign in 10 years”, according to one head of SSA syndicate.
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Spain mandated banks on Monday for its first syndicated bond of the year, as it looks to replicate the success of other eurozone sovereign syndications so far in 2019.
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Dollar SSA issuance picked up in earnest this week after a slower than usual start to the year, with a rich variety of borrowers printing deals, some in record size or with record books. Conditions are such that SSA bankers are confident supply will keep coming and demand stay high for the next few weeks — cheering news for one sovereign issuer looking to make a comeback in the currency.
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A record start to the SSA sterling market came to a halt early this week, with borrowers avoiding prints as the UK Parliament delivered a historically large defeat to the government over its planned withdrawal agreement with the European Union. But once the big risk of the event was out the way, supply picked up — although with Brexit’s direction as uncertain as ever, further blocks to issuance are likely.
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