Spain

UniCredit drew a stellar reception for the first Italian benchmark in almost a year on Tuesday, with the vote of confidence for peripheral risk raising hopes for follow on trades from Italian and Spanish names.

Covered bonds are more stable, higher yielding and offer better protection than sovereign paper, according to Barclays analysts. But liquidity and security also drive investment decisions, and negative government bond yields show how much the market values both, an investor told The Cover.

An asset manager in Frankfurt tells The Cover about breaking the link between covered bonds and their respective sovereigns, investing in peripheral markets, and the problem with regulatory favouritism.

Not so long ago, it was commonly accepted that bank resolution regimes would hobble senior unsecured issuance. Unlike holders of fully protected covered bonds, which cannot be bailed in, senior noteholders faced the threat of haircuts in the event of bank insolvencies.

Covered bond issuers in core Europe have been taking steps to protect their southern European subsidiaries from currency reform should Spain or Italy be forced to abandon the euro.

Multi-cedulas suffered a swathe of downgrades from Standard & Poor’s on Thursday, but analysts and hedge funds say that deeply discounted prices of long-dated bonds look attractive.

European covered bond issuers, along with senior unsecured financials and investment grade corporates, were this week presented with excellent funding conditions, despite a ratcheting-up of pressure on Spain and Italy in the early part of the week.

Standard & Poor’s has resolved rating watches on 12 multi-Cédulas and, in a rare move, even upgraded five other programmes. But hedge funds and fast money buyers continue to dominate interest in the multi-issuer asset class, despite some ratings being as high as double-A.

A new type of Cédulas backed by export finance loans is being lined up to help ease funding pressures on Spain’s banks. The Spanish government has set out a legal framework for Cédulas de Internacionalización (CI) which should be repo eligible. However, the market is likely to be a small with limited rating de-linkage to the issuer.

Secondary covered bonds spreads are grinding tighter as buyers faced with negative yields in the sovereign market drive short dated covered yields towards zero. While core jurisdictions wallow in a sea of demand, investors are still averse to peripheral paper, but the wide spread gap could cause Spanish and Italian spreads to bounce back, said bankers.

CaixaBank has written to its fixed income investors to explain why it has bolstered its emergency liquidity reserves, and the effect that this has had on its balance sheet. Bank treasury officials told The Cover it still has plenty of assets available on its balance sheet and confirmed that overcollateralisation would remain close to historic levels — many times higher than the legal minimum.

Increasing reliance on secured issuance and the impact that this has on senior unsecured recoveries could be factored into ratings, Fitch said on Thursday, though it added that the increase in outstanding covered bond issuance is relatively stable for the time being.