Spain

The transfer of assets from Spanish banks to the country’s bad bank (Sareb) has reduced the collateral available to protect Cédulas investors, Fitch said on Wednesday. However, the fall has been compensated by an increase in higher quality eligible collateral, so the net reduction in security value has been relatively small.

Sparkasse KölnBonn is set to announce a deal in the belly of the curve, somewhere in the region of five years, bankers told The Cover on Monday. Other issuers, possibly from Europe’s periphery, are also considering deals, said bankers, after further strong performance in the secondary market.

Covered bond issuers decided against bringing benchmark bonds on Friday despite a better backdrop, but there are several potential deals in the pipeline and stronger sentiment should encourage issuers looking to come next week, said bankers.

Covered bond syndicate officials are predicting as many as five deals will be launched next week following a wave of successful core transactions.

Legal changes in Spain’s banking system are positive for covered bond holders and time subordination is no longer a factor in Cédulas recoveries, said Fitch in a report published on Friday.

Net euro denominated covered bond supply has dropped to the lowest level since the euro begun. And with a surfeit of central bank liquidity alongside continued balance sheet shrinkage, this trend looks set to continue, suggesting that the already measly supply forecasts for the year could be revised lower.

Standard & Poor’s brought a ray of sunshine to the world of Cédulas ratings this week, when it upgraded NCG Banco’s bonds because of improvement in the quality and maturity profile of the bank’s loan book.

Since UniCredit’s groundbreaking covered bond deal last year, a plethora of issuers have priced inside their sovereign. This new financial order has led to a re-examination of how covered bonds are priced and whether sovereign risk has much bearing on covered spreads anymore.

Multi-Cédulas came under pressure in the secondary market on Monday after Standard & Poor’s took rating action on 51 classes totalling almost €100bn late last week.

Core and peripheral borrowers are waiting for a better market before bringing benchmark covered bonds. Safe-haven names are traditionally first to take advantage of returning stability. But southern European borrowers, which offer higher yields, juicers spreads and are less flexible over pricing, will find execution easier, said bankers.

Trading in Spanish and Italian covered bonds was relatively stable against asset swaps on Monday, while they tightened versus their domestic sovereign bonds, following the news that Cyprus faces a bail-out from the European Union.

Cédulas Hipotecarias could be hit by a European Union ruling on Spanish mortgage enforcement, according to ratings agency DBRS. The ruling increases the chance of borrowers contesting mortgage enforcement proceedings and this could increase the already lengthy foreclosure period, it said.