Spain
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The proportion of residential mortgages in Spanish Multi-Cédulas (MC) has risen, leading to an improvement in their credit quality, Fitch said on Tuesday.
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Santander has issued European covered bonds from Spain, Portugal and UK but could soon be about to issue Obligations Foncières from a new French programme. However, the sub benchmark sized deals are likely to be placed with the ECB said bankers.
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Spanish covered bond spreads were stable on Monday following the multi-notch rating upgrades Moody’s announced at the end of last week, as developments over Greece’s debt negotiations took centre stage. Though a few selective high beta names attracted real money interest, the overall market was heavy even as some government bonds were 20bp tighter or more.
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Unión de Créditos Inmobiliarios’ has issued the first Spanish RMBS since 2007. Meanwhile, ING made its first appearance in two years with an RMBS backed by better quality collateral than many covered bonds, and with a much fatter spread.
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Banco Sabadell was right to approach its possible 10 year covered bond with caution. But if it had been serious about the longer tranche, it would have shown the market a representative spread.
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Banco Sabadell ended a month long drought of periphery issuance on Friday by only just managing to print a €750m five year covered bond. A mooted 10 year never appeared.
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Banco Sabadell mandated leads for a five year Cédulas Hipotecarias on Thursday and said it is exploring the possibility of a 10 year. Ambiguity over whether a long dated tranche will emerge or not reflects the view that indicative pricing on the longer bond looks ambitious.
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DG Hyp printed the second German Pfandbrief of this week on Thursday, proving the market is very much open to German borrowers. But the success of the deal does not guarantee an easy reception for Banco de Sabadell, the first peripheral name to mandate since Bank of Ireland on April 29.
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The Spanish government has published a new securitization law which is expected to allow issuers to structure covered bonds backed by a segregated pool. The move could spur issuers to consider conditional pass through structures backed by a broad range of assets, said analysts at Moody’s and Société Générale.
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The spread between the weakest and strongest covered bonds is tighter than at any point in the last five years, thanks to the European Central Bank’s backstop bid. But just because the ECB is willing to buy anything and everything that qualifies as a covered bond, that doesn’t mean investors should.
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At the end of April Standard & Poor’s will roll outs its new multi Cédulas (MC) rating methodology. It expects 40% of deals it rates to be downgraded two to three notches and 40% to be upgraded about two notches. At the same time it will implement its European commercial real estate (CRE) rating criteria, which will result in 10% of covered bonds with commercial real estate in the pool being downgraded by one notch and no upgrades.
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Aktia Bank Finland priced its Aaa-rated €500m no-grow deal on Tuesday, in what can only be described as a straightforward well prepared transparent process. In contrast, Banco Popular Espanol came to market with a less prepared €1bn, Baa1-rated offering in an over supplied part of the curve, just as peripheral sovereign volatility spiked higher. Nevertheless, with an attractive concession, the Spanish issuer got a fair result.