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  • FIG
    Supply of bonds issued by European insurers has been driven by firms merging, demerging and re-orientating, keeping investors and bankers on their toes. Will the conditions persist in 2019?
  • The European high yield bond market is storing December’s pipeline for January, but several investors warned that demand may still be thin in the new year and that borrowers should pace their plans for issuance.
  • The securitization market has been to the brink and back. From the depths of the financial crisis, the market faced huge obstacles before it was able to stage its impressive comeback in the last five years. Max Adams charts some of the highs and lows for the market in the decade since Lehman Brothers’ collapse and the financial crisis.
  • Securitization markets involve some of the most esoteric, obscure parts of investment banking. Traders and bankers rarely court publicity, while deals are placed to a specialist subset of the fixed income buy-side. Yet, 10 years after the financial crisis, securitization affects almost every part the real economy.
  • Synthetic risk transfer markets have had another good year, with the core group of banks active in the market returning to issue, smaller firms mulling the market, and investors raising new cash to buy deals. But perhaps most exciting is the development of a whole new issuer base, in the shape of multilateral development banks, following the landmark ‘Room2Run’ deal between the African Development Bank and Mariner Investment Group.
  • FIG
    The European Central Bank’s withdrawal from the covered bond market will reverberate through 2019. Amid tougher markets, issuers will also have to grapple with substituting the enormous handout from the targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO II).
  • The Covered Bond Directive is reaching a critical stage that will determine the market’s form and shape for years to come. Luca Bertalot, general secretary of the European Mortgage Federation and European Covered Bond Council, discusses this — and other key factors that will drive the market in 2019.
  • Capital instruments issued by financial institutions under previous regulatory regimes was a topic of contention in several instances this year. With regulators set to lay down further positions, legacy capital will remain on the agenda in 2019.
  • Falling global stock markets and and billions of dollars of equity fund redemptions mean ECM bankers will have to be careful with what deals they bring when markets reopen in January.
  • FIG
    Supply of MREL-eligible debt is expected to boom in 2019, when all European banks will finally be in a position to issue senior bonds that count towards the requirement. But a full range of issuers will be competing to issue these new and more expensive instruments at a time when markets are becoming increasingly volatile. Stand by for pulled deals and creative funding strategies.
  • Bond and currency markets rallied on Monday after Mexico’s new president Andrés Manuel López Obrador (Amlo) presented a budget that Fitch said marked a continuation of Mexico’s existing fiscal framework.
  • Emerging markets, reeling from a dreadful fourth quarter, should return to form in January, in spite of the bad conditions prevailing in the broader market.