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LevFin CLOs

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BWICs spike and spreads widen but market remains constructive
Resets and refis prominent in pipeline as loan market softens, offering respite from repricing wave
Dasha Sobornova joins from Akin Gump with experience across asset classes
Trade body for levfin investors turns to leading rating analyst
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  • The first two big acquisition loans of the year in Europe, for Amer Sports and Ahlsell, have both been subject to pushback from investors on some of the most borrower-friendly terms in their original security packages. That has set a standard for new deals, now markets have recovered much of the ground they lost in the fourth quarter.
  • Japanese CLO investors are said to be moving their bid for senior CLO debt wider yet again, following a move at the beginning of the year that saw anchor buyers like Norinchukin Bank demand considerably more spread compared to 2018.
  • A slowing economy is likely to weigh on US corporates, leading to rating downgrades that could induce CLO managers to sell loans on the basis of failed overcollateralization or weighted average ratings tests. A small but growing handful of new issue deals are already taking active bets on such downgrades and incorporating a bigger bucket for downgraded debt or accommodating a hybrid pool of bonds and loans.
  • ICG’s St. Paul’s CLO X, arranged by Goldman Sachs, was priced on Monday evening with triple-As at 114bp while the Ares, Redding Ridge and Guggenheim CLOs are expected to price by Friday.
  • Analysis of CLO trading by JP Morgan’s fixed income research team concluded that, through the selloff in the fourth quarter last year and the rally this year, loan trading by CLO managers beat the market, with the vehicles successfully buying low and selling high compared to broader movements — and compared to waiting out the volatility entirely.
  • After the CLO market ground to a halt in December following a retail fund-driven loan market selloff, the primary market has at last sprung back to life, albeit with wider spreads than some issuers grew accustomed to for much of 2018 and with more varying deal structures to get investors in the door.