KfW
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Public sector borrowers are having to take a more cautious approach to their dollar issuance, as wide swap spreads and a disconnect between secondaries and primary clearing levels require a touch more concession. But while all agree on the treatment, there are differing views on how long the affliction will last, writes Craig McGlashan. -
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KfW was set to price a $4bn three year global at the tight end of guidance with a comfortably oversubscribed book on Tuesday. But bankers said the concession offered was a sign of a changing pricing dynamic between issuers and investors.
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The potential end of eurozone quantitative easing may be leading to sleepless nights for some, but top tier SSAs are welcoming the slow return to historically normal rates. KfW this week sold its first five year euro benchmark with a positive yield in nearly three years, welcoming back investors that had gone elsewhere in search of return — and auguring well for future euro issuance from the sector.
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KfW built a towering book in the five year part of the euro curve on Wednesday with a deal that SSA bankers away from the trade said probably attracted heavy French demand. The agency’s choice of printing just €4bn from a book of over €8bn should ensure a tightening of its curve, they added.
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A new study of green bond pricing has stopped short of saying that green bond issuers can generally expect to get tighter new issue premiums. But the report’s lead author did say: “Green bond buyers can’t expect to receive a new issue premium — that is itself quite a bold statement.”
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With the return of stability to the euro public sector market, a new wave of borrowing hit this week. Four core European names brought syndications, some of which were able to access unusual or difficult tenors because of the higher rates on offer.
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The euro SSA market is returning to a more aggressive pace of issuance after a slackening in tempo last week. Two borrowers raised a combined €3bn on Wednesday and another pair are set to print on Thursday.
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A jump in US Treasury yields following a higher than expected US inflation print could boost long end dollar supply from SSAs said bankers, although investors might be keen for concerns over inflation to die down first. Meanwhile, issuers have been focusing on short dated arbitrage style trades with benchmark issuance limited this week — and likely next week — due to the Chinese New Year holidays.
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This week's funding scorecard looks at the progress Europe's supranational and agency borrowers have made in their funding programmes.
