Italy

If Italy is decisively to address the persistent challenges presented by its low growth, poor productivity, elevated debt, high unemployment and weak financial services industry, then CDP will need to play a pivotal role in mobilising over €250bn of resources. Philip Moore reports.

Ask people to name the centres for capital markets in Europe and most will probably pick London, Frankfurt and perhaps Paris. But Milan will not be on many people’s shortlist, at least not outside Italy. But that may be about to change as a series of major transactions on the city’s stock exchange has shone a spotlight on a growing trend that could point to a boost to the eurozone economy’s growth outlook. By Phil Thornton

Italy’s growth trajectory, at around 1.5%, may look modest in comparison to the 2.3% growth that UniCredit is projecting for the eurozone as a whole in 2018 and 2019 but by Italian standards, it represents an encouraging advance, given that the root cause of so many of Italy’s problems is its chronic lack of growth. Philip Moore reports.

Cyclical or structural? This is a question which I have often been asked about Italy’s economic recovery. Italy began showing some first signs of recovery in 2014, a year in which Italy posted a 0.1% increase in GDP after a double-dip recession between 2009-2013 which led to a 10% drop in the country’s output. In the following years the recovery grew stronger and now the economy is growing at a rate similar to that of other euro-area countries.

The investment grade corporate bond market started February with the second busiest day of 2018 so far, picking up after a relatively quiet January. Acea, Ford and Prosegur Cia de Seguridad, sold five tranches between them, including two floating rate notes (FRNs), on the first day of the new month.

The investment grade corporate bond market has started February with intent, with Thursday registering as the second busiest day of 2018 so far.

The euro market is taking a breather as a frenetic January draws to a close. But one borrower hit screens and launched a deal on Wednesday, while the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) sent out a request for proposals for next week.

Italian toll road operator Società Iniziative Autostradali e Servizi (SIAS) followed a four day investor roadshow with its third 10 year bond this week. A €1.9bn order book allowed the company to print its largest ever deal at a much tighter spread than its previous two offerings.

When talking to syndicate managers or investors about the first month of 2018, you may think that supply volumes in the euro investment grade corporate bond market have been unusually low. However, a comparison of previous January issuance levels suggests it has been a much more normal start to the year.

Italy’s leading gas distribution company Italgas was the latest issuer to benefit from the lack of corporate bond supply so far in 2018, tapping a deal on Tuesday. Investors, starved of paper, have caused order books to be multiple times oversubscribed and issuers have benefited from tight pricing as a result.

Italian tyre company Pirelli returned to the bond market on Monday for the first time since its IPO. With no other investment grade deals in the market, the new five year transaction enjoyed strong investor demand and 40bp of tightening from initial price thoughts.

Italo, the private Italian operator of high speed trains founded by a former chairman of Ferrari, has announced its intention to float on Borsa Italiana, offering investors a “unique” opportunity to play the high speed rail market in Europe, according to a banker involved.