German Sovereign
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A megayacht of a trade from KfW this week suggested that potential headwinds — including the end of quantitative easing, Italy’s reckoning with the European Commission and Angela Merkel’s plan to step away from politics — are failing to sink sentiment in the euro market. But some SSA bankers warned that the trade was more just proof that KfW can float in these conditions — and that an upcoming deal for the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) will be a better buoy for the sector’s currents. -
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A quartet of public sector borrowers brought small dollar deals this week that were fine but unspectacular, which SSA bankers said was down to a confluence of factors. There are hopes that with the market likely quiet next week for the US mid-term elections and Federal Open Market Committee meeting, conditions could return to their best for the albeit limited funding windows left in 2018.
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Public sector borrowers are taking different approaches to the MTN market as they look to see out the rest of the funding year.
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A mix of political, economic and market forces is “shaping up to be a perfect storm” for the eurozone debt markets, investors have warned.
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Österreichische Kontrollbank and Erste Abwicklungsanstalt priced well received dollar deals on Tuesday. The pipeline in the currency is building with Bank Nederlanse Gementeen and Swedish Export Credit Corporation having lined up three year trades.
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KfW received a final book of over €12bn for a five year euro benchmark on Tuesday, while the City of Hamburg closed out its funding for the year with its longest outstanding bond. Finnvera will add to the euro SSA supply this week, after mandating banks for a short 10 year that is likely to be its final syndication of the year.
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A funding official at KfW has switched to the corporate sector.
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KfW mandated banks on Monday for the first euro benchmark in the public sector market from a supranational or agency in two weeks.
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Italy’s government bonds rallied to their tightest spreads versus Bunds since the start of the month after S&P opted to hold its rating for the country at BBB, while moving its outlook to negative from stable last Friday. But while there may be some respite for Italy in the weeks ahead, Germany chancellor Angela Merkel’s decision on Monday to step down at the end of her term in 2021 has left analysts fretting about the overall path of the eurozone.
