France

On Friday Fitch put the AA+ rated covered bond programmes of Caffil and CoFF, and the public sector programme of BNP Paribas, on rating watch negative (RWN), following an identical action on the French sovereign earlier last week.

La Caisse Centrale Desjardins du Quebec (CCDQ) was back in the euro market on Wednesday with its second five year legislative covered bond of 2014, this time achieving a solid book and pricing at the tight end of guidance. The positive result was in contrast to its disappointing inaugural deal in March. Wednesday’s deal was priced at an expected 2bp pick-up over the stronger Canadian Imperial Bank of Canada’s (CIBC’s) five year trade last Wednesday.

The covered bond market passed another milestone this week with core transactions attracting book sizes that were reminiscent of the yieldy peripheral deals seen a year ago, but at spreads well through swaps. With supply likely to slow after September, the European Central Bank ready to absorb a large portion of whatever is subsequently issued and sovereign yields expected to head further into negative territory, the technical squeeze will become much tighter.

The frenzy of demand for Compagnie de Financement Foncier’s (CFF) five year deal on Tuesday demonstrated that the market’s psychological resistance to sub-Euribor pricing has well and truly crumbled.

Banco Espirito Santo’s outstanding covered bond is bid only, and though little flow has been reported, dealers believe the offer is likely to be as much as 100bp tighter. In other news, Caffil’s bonds have performed well over the past month, outperforming the rest of the jurisdiction, partly driven by a new French law that limits the firm's litigation exposure by €66m which will considerably reduce the probability of a covered bond payment disruption.

Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena’s (MPS) covered bonds’ outperformed the market on Monday after Moody’s upgraded them from Ba1 to Baa3 following the European close on Friday. The new rating more than halves the capital charge as the bonds move into investment grade territory, opening up demand to a much larger investor base. This swell of new interest should ensure that MPS outperforms the market over the summer.

BPCE, Muenchener Hypothekenbank and Belfius Bank all launched 10 year covered bonds on Monday, underscoring the impression that investors are confident European yields could keep heading lower. Where once long end demand was dominated by real money, banks are now more dominant, a change that has been driven by the improved status of covered bonds in the liquidity coverage ratio.

Cristina Costa has joined Société Générale as senior covered bond analyst.

After issuing its second covered bond of the year on Tuesday, Crédit Foncier de France is set to return to the capital markets and fund its residential mortgages with an RMBS, the first sale of the product from France since 2006. But in contrast to covered bonds, the RMBS is driven by capital considerations with the leads confirming that the issuer intends to place all of the subordinated notes.

Compagnie de Financement Foncier (CFF) came to market with its second Obligation Foncière of the year on Tuesday, matching the March deal’s €1bn size but this time opting for a 10 year, rather than five year, tenor.

The new Banque de France SME funding vehicle could be used for ECB quantitative easing, says BBVA. The Spanish bank’s research team say that, given the ECB’s new readiness to fund SME assets through QE, the Banque de France programme could be the ideal vehicle to channel these funds.

Société Générale returned to the covered bond market on Tuesday after a four month absence to issue the sixth French covered bond deal of the year and the third from France with a 10 year maturity. By limiting the deal size, leads were able to price flat to its curve, and with barely any premium to the French government.