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◆ Aussie lender ends four year absence ◆ Demand for sterling credit proves strong ◆ Determining fair value tricky
The new issue premium was slim, thought observers
◆ 'Moderate' oversubscription levels ◆ Belfius offers higher NIP for larger size ◆ SpareBank achieves tighter pricing on green five year
◆ Higher spread, higher book than tighter priced SP deals ◆ Large French supply expected in the second half of year ◆ Small premium paid
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In a year dominated by the collapse and takeover of Credit Suisse, financial institutions were keen to re‑establish investor confidence in some of the riskier asset classes. Axa led the way just weeks after the CS rescue with a €1bn subordinated bond. In the autumn, UBS made a bold statement about the stability of Swiss bank capital as it returned to AT1 issuance with two $1.75bn tranches. Elsewhere, banks dealt with tricky conditions and pulled off some skilfully timed transactions, underlining the market’s faith in mainstream currencies and emphasising the appeal of ESG labels -
Rate peak joy soothes angst over Austrian collapse, but losses will surface
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◆ Rate cut expectations raise appeal of bank debt ◆ NBC and Ally Financial push annual issuance to $593bn ◆ Yankee and US regional banks expected to lift supply in 2024
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◆ Interest rate expectations power demand for higher yielding bonds, duration in covereds ◆ Synthetic indices tighten to fresh 12-month low ◆ Market in rude health for January issuance
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◆ ECB repayments to influence banks’ covered and SP issuance ◆ But TLTRO repayments less important than this year ◆ Large pre-funding could mean lighter January supply
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◆ End of year slow down exacerbated by caution ahead of major central bank decisions ◆ Sentiment stays strong albeit some dents after strong US economic data forces changes in rate cut expectations ◆ European banks send RFPs for January issuance
