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Banks could rush to issue as fast as possible, taking advantage of remarkably tight spreads
European and other regulators are working on reforms to make covered bond funding more efficient
Changes to ECB collateral eligibility requirement could lead to more blockchain-based covered bonds, Moody's suggests
All three 2026 dollar covered bonds issued in past fortnight as issuers adapt to market conditions
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A pair of German states, an agency and Pfandbrief issuer are all possible candidates -
◆ Smaller cover pools suppress funding needs ◆ Issuers consider benchmarks instead ◆ German and Austrian lenders provide bulk of supply
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◆ Prefunding discussions to pick up in the autumn ◆ Elevated spreads are deterring supply ◆ US election will dictate demand
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◆ Average benchmark tenor up from 2023 ◆ Seven years proves popular ◆ Longer dated deals look unlikely
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◆ New issue premiums return to euro covered issuance ◆ Issuers unable to tighten despite wider starting spreads ◆ French covered spreads could tighten
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◆ German banks raced out of the blocks this year ◆ Slower loan book growth to damp supply ◆ Pfandbrief spreads unlikely to tighten
