Covered Bonds
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The main consideration for eurozone banks at the start of 2023 was to garner what remained of the ECB bid for covered bonds but by the end of the year they had negotiated not one but two crises. Sarah Ainsworth reports on how, despite all the volatility, they navigated another strong year for issuance
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Rate peak joy soothes angst over Austrian collapse, but losses will surface
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Despite prevailing bleak sentiment from expensive Pfandbrief issuers, the market is bracing for the reopening of the long end of the market
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◆ Interest rate expectations power demand for higher yielding bonds, duration in covereds ◆ Synthetic indices tighten to fresh 12-month low ◆ Market in rude health for January issuance
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Spreads have been resilient as S&P says limited impact on covered bond programmes from Austrian property company's default
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◆ ECB repayments to influence banks’ covered and SP issuance ◆ But TLTRO repayments less important than this year ◆ Large pre-funding could mean lighter January supply
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Bank analysts agree that Bund ASWs will tighten in 2024
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Regular Swiss issuer reopens two covered bonds in last sale of 2023
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◆ End of year slow down exacerbated by caution ahead of major central bank decisions ◆ Sentiment stays strong albeit some dents after strong US economic data forces changes in rate cut expectations ◆ European banks send RFPs for January issuance
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EU Parliament and Council have reached a provisional agreement on EPBD but 'devil is in the details'
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Regular issuer targets lower size and lands inside last trade from Pfandbriefbank
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Bank spreads are trading very tightly, but are priced for perfection. Any jolt to interest rate expectations will spoil the party