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Asian buyers driving callable SSA market have resurfaced in public benchmark deals
Public sector issuers have become more flexible when executing cross-currency interest rate swaps
Politically motivated prosecutions endanger democracy
Solutions exist but political will is necessary
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Sovereign defaults are part of the territory for emerging market investors but even by the standards of previous crises, surely nothing compares to the economic catastrophe that is rapidly engulfing large parts of the developing world.
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For many years, corporate debt investors have scratched their heads and wondered: will anything, ever, cause the returns on bonds to go back to normal again?
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Armies of wonks have spent the last 10 years dreaming up a panoply of bank capital tools, from additional tier one capital to MREL, to make sure “too big to fail” can never happen again. Next time, they claimed, private investors’ capital would be burnt in an orderly process, saving taxpayers from bailing out banks.
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CLOs are under acute stress as the coronavirus pandemic wreaks havoc on corporate credit, but the situation presents an opportunity for the market to prove itself to sceptics.
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For years, the best sovereign issuers in the emerging markets would boast that their latest bond deal showed how much the mystical “international financial community” supported the current administration’s macroeconomic management. And EM investors would pretend that buying the stuff was to have the map to Treasure Island.
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‘Corona bonds’ have been talked up so much that the EU risks underwhelming the market by failing to act. It has become a question of political solidarity within the region, not simply one of debt management.