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Reforms should focus on banks' access to liquidity, not capital
Issuer has set the stage for peers to return to public market
Green investors buy when everyone else stops, giving issuers one last pricing lever — perhaps to cross a line none of them wants to reach
Investors are still around and issuers can get ahead of the September rush
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Big bank M&A is a fun parlour game. If one tires of discussing whether one hundred duck-sized horses could overpower one horse-sized duck, or which West Ham line-up 1980-present was strongest (2000-02 - Ed) it's always worth speculating about who ought to be buying who and why. -
For much of 2017, corporate bond issuers could be relaxed about when they brought their deals to the market. However, investment bankers kept telling them to hurry up: the first movers would get the best terms.
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Sometimes, investors get hit by political events that come out of nowhere. Other times, they walk straight into an oncoming freight train, even though it's blowing its horn at top volume.
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Investors in emerging market assets have been caught short in the past fortnight, with many wrongly positioned for the rising dollar. The sharp fall in EM asset prices has caught many by surprise, but if two weeks of pain has taught them anything, it is that passive investing is not a good idea.
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Market pressure on Argentina in recent weeks drove President Macri to take what initially felt like a radical step by roping in the IMF. But what first seemed like a horrific déjà vu is actually a sign that things are getting better in the most underperforming EM nation.
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The central banks aren’t the only 800lb gorillas in the bond market. How tech companies choose to liquidate their investments and hand cash back to shareholders could drive the outlook for bonds just as much as monetary policy.
