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Asian buyers driving callable SSA market have resurfaced in public benchmark deals
Public sector issuers have become more flexible when executing cross-currency interest rate swaps
Politically motivated prosecutions endanger democracy
Solutions exist but political will is necessary
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In the emerging markets over the past year the art of bond investing has often felt like perfecting the skill of mitigating disaster — of knowing when to catch a falling knife or jump on a rebound before everyone else does.
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Many of the assumptions that surrounded older iterations of perpetual bank capital instruments are still there in the new class of additional tier one securities. -
The European Central Bank (ECB) is well aware of the fact that €400bn borrowed under TLTRO II will no longer be counted as stable funding from June, so a new financing package is certain to be announced in the next month or two. But issuers waiting for a handout are going to be disappointed by what follows and will be obliged to tap capital markets, just as conditions deteriorate.
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Pacific Gas & Electric has gone bankrupt with $52bn of debt, blaming forest fires that seared California during 2018. Vale, with $11bn, has been downgraded to the bottom edge of investment grade after its horrific dam burst last Friday.
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Spanish telecoms company Telefonica this week became the latest issuer to sell green bonds. The volume of money dedicated to green bond investments meant that there was huge demand and the deal had participation of nearly 50% from green investors. But if those buyers had that much conviction they wouldn’t have waited for this trade.
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The mornings are still dark and gloomy, but the new issue debt markets are full of sunshine. Not only is the market booming but issuers are still paying attention to syndicate advice and treading carefully, for now.
