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Turbulent market conditions of the Middle East war have pushed bond issuers and investors to try new things
A swift response is tempting, but lenders should avoid kneejerk reaction
Talk of de-dollarisation has evaporated. The dollar market remains the undisputed king of financing
Inflation caused by war threatens budding recovery in commercial real estate
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Established covered bond investors are often sceptical about conditional pass through deals. The structure allows the maturity of their investments to be extended, perhaps by decades. But they could be safer than long dated bullet deals.
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Markets are underpricing volatility, in stark contrast to 2015. As the underlying stock and bond markets gyrate, options markets show a strange tranquility. The market is better hedged than last year, but a flood of funds is suppressing fear signals.
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As Monte dei Paschi di Siena’s shares gyrated last week, losing up to 34% of their value, the bank received a high honour, for a second year running — top primary dealer for Italian sovereign bonds.
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The Chinese property sector has once again found itself in the headlines for the wrong reasons with Future Land Development Holdings saying on Friday that its chairman was being investigated by the authorities. While there was the inevitable bout of panic selling, the short time it took for things to stabilise shows a maturing market that is fast getting used to the complexities of the industry.
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Iran’s re-engagement with the global financial system after the lifting of US and EU nuclear-related sanctions at the weekend will have profound consequences, but this is no “eureka” moment for its relationship with international banks.
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As Chinese companies go on an M&A shopping trip in Europe in 2016, the European loan market will benefit from the China’s spending spree.