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Turbulent market conditions of the Middle East war have pushed bond issuers and investors to try new things
A swift response is tempting, but lenders should avoid kneejerk reaction
Talk of de-dollarisation has evaporated. The dollar market remains the undisputed king of financing
Inflation caused by war threatens budding recovery in commercial real estate
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Investor support for Turkey has proved remarkably resilient this year. A coup attempt and ensuing state of emergency, and two downgrades to junk, did little to shake support, but Turkey’s luck is running out as the attention turns to deteriorating economic indicators from the region.
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Central bank stimulus will weigh on UK RMBS issuance in the short term, but that could drag the market into becoming a more significant tool for bank treasurers.
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Presidential candidate, and favourite to win today’s election, Hillary Clinton wants to let most US college students attend state colleges tuition-free. But the federal aid boost could see more colleges upping tuition costs, and this could eventually come back to haunt the ABS market.
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Do not be reassured by the checks and balances narrative. The US presidential election matters desperately. Either the US will be in a position to keep leading the world, or it won’t. -
The crushing of recent Hong Kong IPOs in secondary and the anxiety it has caused among investors has led to much finger-pointing in the ECM fraternity. But to lay the blame squarely at the feet of a single bank or deal is hardly fair. In an IPO market strewn with casualties, everyone has to share the responsibility.
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A mix of local politics and broader market developments may gradually strip Hong Kong of its role as the cutting edge centre for renminbi internationalisation. But that is probably a good development, at least as far as China’s longer-term strategy is concerned.
