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Weak or half-hearted response to Greenland threats will leave markets crumbling
Over the last week the US president has pushed to make homes and consumer credit more affordable but these policies risk unintended consequences
Issuance volumes may be high but demand is even higher. Credit issuers in particular should take full advantage
Hounding the Fed does not make the US bond market more attractive
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Multilateral development banks (MDBs) are increasingly moving into local currency funding. Now medium-term note (MTN) dealers need to dust off their EM currency investor Rolodexes, as this shift offers a much-needed business opportunity for them. -
Amid a grim outlook for their profitability, European banks have been looking at all manner of ways to cut costs. Bank capital investors should not be surprised if their next target is debt interest. That may mean banks cannot be relied on to call bonds as expected, just to maintain good relations with investors.
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Capital markets enjoyed a euphoric high after Boris Johnson's Conservative Party won a convincing victory in Thursday's general election, bringing what many hoped would be clarity to the long wrangles over Brexit. It lasted two working days. The hardball approach Johnson is taking to EU trade negotiations is a severe letdown, which is likely to make 2020 as unsettling as the last two years.
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Retail investors who bought two minibond issues from Chilango, a London-based Mexican food chain, are set to lose their money, with either a 90% writedown or debt-for-equity swap heading their way. This was grimly predictable, based on a cursory glance at the deal documents, but the issue shows how messed up our investor protection rules are.
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Rising defaults by Chinese firms onshore have triggered sell-offs in numerous parts of the dollar bond market over the past few weeks. But international investors appear too complacent about the health of some of the largest debt issuers from the mainland. More scepticism is needed.
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Equity markets, particularly European ones, are largely focusing on the UK election as the last opportunity for pre-Christmas volatility. But investors should remember that other shocks remain possible, including the scheduled imposition of US trade tariffs on China on Sunday.
