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Weak or half-hearted response to Greenland threats will leave markets crumbling
Over the last week the US president has pushed to make homes and consumer credit more affordable but these policies risk unintended consequences
Issuance volumes may be high but demand is even higher. Credit issuers in particular should take full advantage
Hounding the Fed does not make the US bond market more attractive
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The economic devastation has made an absolute mockery of predicting corporate earnings and therefore, equity valuation. Companies have given up on providing forward guidance leaving equity investors in the strange position of having to pick stocks without the earnings estimates that they have come to depend upon. Undoubtedly, this makes their work harder but it will also mean they must add to their repertoire of techniques for analysing companies. Many will flounder but a few are bound to shine. -
Chinese bond issuers can feel a sense of relief that the country is starting to end its Covid-19-related lockdowns. But although the coronavirus might become less of a problem for these issuers over the rest of the year, an old enemy will again cause problems. US president Donald Trump is once again rattling his sabre.
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Whole industries are on their knees, desperate for salvation from governments. Moral outrage fills the air, as fortune's wheel turns plutocrats into mendicants. States have the power of life and death — but they must resist the temptation to play God.
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The ECB has, despite an early gaffe, decided that it is its job to close spreads after all — and for the most part, it is excelling in its task. But its attention is focused on the bond market and, as a result, those who rely on the money markets for short term funding are suffering.
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When Ecopetrol, which has been talking about bringing a bond for an absolute age, chose to do so last Friday after an oil price crash and in the middle of the coronavirus pandemic, it took the market aback. Fridays after all, are not typically when any self-respecting Latin American bond issuer comes to the market. But there is nothing typical about Lat Am primary markets these days.
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From Italian government bonds to fallen angels, nothing is junk unless the European Central Bank says so.
