Agencies Rocked By Scandal, But Spreads Remain Firm

Demand for agencies remained strong this year despite an ongoing investigation of Fannie Mae's books, as spreads remained stable amid a positive technical backdrop.

  • 23 Dec 2004
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Demand for agencies remained strong this year despite an ongoing investigation of Fannie Mae's books, as spreads remained stable amid a positive technical backdrop.

The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, the regulator for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, announced its investigation into Fannie Mae's accounting in September, causing spreads of Fannie Mae debentures to widen out by a basis point (BW, 9/24). However, despite the continuing headlines and last week's forcing out of Franklin Raines, ceo, and Timothy Howard, cfo, spreads have tightened up.

"Demand is still there even after the headline junk hit the tape," said Ralph Axel, government strategist at HSBC.

Agency spreads to Treasuries ranged from the mid-30 basis points to low 60bps this year, and widened and tightened in line with Treasuries, which is unusual. "Agencies historically have not been as lock-step with Treasuries," said Chad Puryear, senior agency strategist at Morgan Keegan. As of Dec. 22, Fannie Mae 10-years were trading at LIBOR minus one bp, the tightest since 2000.

Both agencies reduced their sales, leading trading volumes to drop 50%. "Liquidity has been hampered by the lowered issuance. Also, the range has been tighter, so [investors'] need and desire to move in and out of the securities is less," said Scott Graham, agency strategist at RBS Greenwich.

  • 23 Dec 2004

All International Bonds

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 JPMorgan 187,839.72 828 8.20%
2 Citi 177,811.20 723 7.76%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 146,015.32 604 6.37%
4 Barclays 141,376.85 560 6.17%
5 HSBC 117,136.47 604 5.11%

Bookrunners of All Syndicated Loans EMEA

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 BNP Paribas 17,156.20 81 7.00%
2 Credit Agricole CIB 14,626.10 73 5.97%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 13,982.20 42 5.71%
4 UniCredit 11,996.19 65 4.90%
5 SG Corporate & Investment Banking 11,443.33 58 4.67%

Bookrunners of all EMEA ECM Issuance

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Morgan Stanley 6,404.49 28 10.72%
2 Goldman Sachs 5,586.94 27 9.35%
3 JPMorgan 5,185.69 33 8.68%
4 UBS 4,134.32 20 6.92%
5 Citi 4,039.74 28 6.76%