TLTRO could upset French covered supply expectations

Net covered bond supply from France is likely to fall in 2019, which should support spreads. However, French banks were among the most active users of the the European Central Bank's Targeted Longer Term Refinancing Operations (TLTRO), which, as it starts to mature, will need to be refinanced - and the covered bond market could be poised to provide some of that funding.

  • By Bill Thornhill
  • 05 Dec 2018

Gross covered bond supply is expected to amount to almost €26bn based on an average of seven research analysts’ forecasts. At the top end of the range is Barclays with an estimate of €30bn, and at the bottom end is Société Générale with a forecast of €23bn.

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Bookrunners of Global Covered Bonds

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 UniCredit 8,193.67 66 6.37%
2 HSBC 7,294.00 37 5.67%
3 LBBW 6,988.86 39 5.43%
4 Natixis 5,933.30 28 4.61%
5 Barclays 5,557.78 30 4.32%

Bookrunners of Global FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Citi 41,780.75 203 6.88%
2 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 40,512.92 158 6.67%
3 JPMorgan 36,010.73 172 5.93%
4 Morgan Stanley 26,989.09 150 4.44%
5 HSBC 25,650.79 149 4.22%

Bookrunners of Dollar Denominated FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 33,656.19 131 12.14%
2 Citi 32,900.44 157 11.86%
3 JPMorgan 29,082.99 133 10.49%
4 Morgan Stanley 19,896.07 106 7.17%
5 Goldman Sachs 17,708.90 174 6.39%

Bookrunners of Euro Denominated Covered Bond Above €500m

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Natixis 4,918.89 18 7.00%
2 LBBW 4,741.33 18 6.74%
3 Credit Agricole CIB 4,174.25 17 5.94%
4 UniCredit 4,163.16 19 5.92%
5 HSBC 3,974.99 14 5.65%

Global FIG Revenue

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • 02 May 2016
1 Morgan Stanley 365.83 497 7.62%
2 JPMorgan 332.66 618 6.92%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 299.89 590 6.24%
4 Goldman Sachs 276.71 375 5.76%
5 Citi 264.54 592 5.51%

Bookrunners of European Subordinated FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount €m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Credit Agricole CIB 3,425.91 10 11.21%
2 UBS 3,334.58 12 10.91%
3 Barclays 3,229.69 10 10.57%
4 BNP Paribas 2,554.19 12 8.36%
5 HSBC 1,877.94 13 6.15%