TLTRO could upset French covered supply expectations

Net covered bond supply from France is likely to fall in 2019, which should support spreads. However, French banks were among the most active users of the the European Central Bank's Targeted Longer Term Refinancing Operations (TLTRO), which, as it starts to mature, will need to be refinanced - and the covered bond market could be poised to provide some of that funding.

  • By Bill Thornhill
  • 05 Dec 2018

Gross covered bond supply is expected to amount to almost €26bn based on an average of seven research analysts’ forecasts. At the top end of the range is Barclays with an estimate of €30bn, and at the bottom end is Société Générale with a forecast of €23bn.

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Bookrunners of Global Covered Bonds

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 HSBC 5,126.88 21 7.34%
2 Barclays 4,041.33 20 5.78%
3 UniCredit 3,808.25 29 5.45%
4 LBBW 3,782.72 20 5.41%
5 Natixis 3,503.93 14 5.01%

Bookrunners of Global FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Citi 13,992.70 56 7.77%
2 JPMorgan 11,907.76 49 6.61%
3 Morgan Stanley 11,637.78 52 6.46%
4 Goldman Sachs 10,376.12 72 5.76%
5 BNP Paribas 9,986.77 27 5.54%

Bookrunners of Dollar Denominated FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 JPMorgan 11,039.30 41 11.76%
2 Citi 9,986.01 43 10.64%
3 Morgan Stanley 9,906.77 40 10.55%
4 Goldman Sachs 9,518.02 65 10.14%
5 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 8,526.90 27 9.08%

Bookrunners of Euro Denominated Covered Bond Above €500m

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Natixis 3,106.36 10 7.25%
2 HSBC 3,089.99 10 7.21%
3 Barclays 2,870.45 11 6.70%
4 LBBW 2,867.95 11 6.69%
5 Credit Agricole CIB 2,698.01 10 6.30%

Global FIG Revenue

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • 02 May 2016
1 Morgan Stanley 365.83 497 7.62%
2 JPMorgan 332.66 618 6.92%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 299.89 590 6.24%
4 Goldman Sachs 276.71 375 5.76%
5 Citi 264.54 592 5.51%

Bookrunners of European Subordinated FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount €m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 UBS 2,550.05 5 27.51%
2 HSBC 984.09 6 10.62%
3 Santander 660.14 4 7.12%
4 Deutsche Bank 511.09 4 5.51%
5 Credit Agricole CIB 459.09 3 4.95%