Sov ABS: a bad solution to a big problem

The European Commission appears to be pushing ahead with plans to launch sovereign bond-backed securities, according to a draft document seen by GlobalCapital. While the intentions behind the product are noble, this is the wrong way to fix the eurozone’s sovereign-bank nexus.

  • By Craig McGlashan
  • 05 Oct 2017
Email a colleague
Request a PDF

Cartoon_1525_NexusFirst and foremost, bundling up sovereign bonds into a securitization is backwards thinking at the textbook level. One uses securitization to make an illiquid product — say, credit card debt — into a liquid asset. But sovereign bonds are as liquid as it gets — and bundling a Bund with a Lithuanian sovereign bond is hardly going to make the latter more liquid.

Furthermore, the structured product market is far more likely to shut at times of stress than the government bond market. But sovereign issuers need to be able to print at all times — weakening that ability could create far larger problems than the one this solution claims to sort out.

There are also serious questions over how the securities would be structured. Should they link weightings to GDP? What happens then if relative GDPs change?

If the Commission really wants to break the link between banks and their sovereigns, it needs to either create true debt mutualisation — politically unlikely, especially given the results of last month’s German election — or force banks to diversify using laws or obligations.

Both those solutions are fraught with difficulties and their own problems. But if the Commission is serious, far better it look to those than creating a product that none of its sovereign issuers — who are surely among those most keen for a safer eurozone bond market — either wants or needs.

  • By Craig McGlashan
  • 05 Oct 2017

European Sovereign Bonds

Rank Lead Manager Amount €m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Citi 18,605.78 27 8.83%
2 HSBC 16,094.53 24 7.64%
3 Barclays 15,995.15 26 7.59%
4 BNP Paribas 15,919.65 22 7.55%
5 Goldman Sachs 14,733.99 25 6.99%

Dollar Denominated SSA (Excl US Agency)

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 JPMorgan 53,463.63 126 11.61%
2 Citi 52,833.87 135 11.48%
3 HSBC 35,719.21 90 7.76%
4 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 34,298.88 106 7.45%
5 Deutsche Bank 31,212.00 75 6.78%

Bookrunners of Euro Denominated SSA (Excl US Agency)

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 UniCredit 34,793.50 122 7.22%
2 HSBC 34,778.70 117 7.22%
3 Barclays 33,100.55 82 6.87%
4 Goldman Sachs 31,906.26 88 6.62%
5 BNP Paribas 31,647.57 69 6.57%

Bookrunners of Global SSA (Excl US Agency)

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Citi 96,179.86 335 7.29%
2 JPMorgan 94,013.25 550 7.13%
3 HSBC 82,198.94 302 6.23%
4 Barclays 67,551.66 221 5.12%
5 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 66,801.88 220 5.07%