Sweden

Though the covered market was quiet on Friday, market participants can look back on highly successful week in which almost Eu7bn in euro benchmarks was issued. After faltering supply in April UniCredit analysts report that covered bonds are on track for another record month. Issuance thus far in May is almost Eu20bn, less than Eu2bn short of the record total supply for that month.

On Thursday, Nordea took advantage of the flight to quality bid, scarcity of short end Scandinavian supply and sizeable bank treasury and central bank interest to launch and price a Eu2bn three year covered bond backed by Finnish prime residential mortgages. Timing and choice of lead played an important role in attracting top quality Asian demand.

Scandanvian borrowers have joined their French and German core colleagues to take advantage of a market highly receptive to quality issuance. SpareBank 1 Boligkredit tapped the dollar space on Tuesday, while Nordea Bank Finland priced a well oversubscribed three year euro trade on Thursday. Aktia real estate mortgage bank has mandated banks for a series of investor meetings beginning in early June.

Bayerische Landesbank began taking indications of interest for a benchmark public sector Pfandbrief, expected to be priced on Thursday, which could end the mysterious drought in the covered market.

Secondary trading has paused for breath lately, but there are still good pockets of liquidity and interest – specifically for French, UK and to a lesser extent Dutch and Scandinavian deals. The primary market could be due another slow week though a French deal is highly likely, with Société Générale tipped as a probable candidate. UK issuers are looking at the dollar market but there is speculation that one is looking at sterling.

Stadshypotek priced the tightest Swedish covered bond deal of the year on Wednesday, and the tightest non-Pfandbrief trade of 2011. The Eu1.5bn print was increased from the planned Eu1bn on the back of strong central bank participation, and an order book of Eu1.8bn.

Sweden’s Stadshypotek has priced a comfortably oversubscribed, upsized trade. Though in line with initial guidance, the plus 32bp print seemed ambitious. Nevertheless, the price and size clearly worked, proving that cash rich buyers are eager to digest fresh supply from top tier, rare names in core jurisdictions – something that Stadshypotek was well placed to take advantage of.

Banque Populaire Caisse d’Epargne restarted benchmark issuance on Tuesday, launching the first euro denominated Obligations á l’Habitat. The inaugural Eu2bn deal was well received by a cash rich investor base that has had to make do with secondary market purchases since April 14. Though there was no further primary issuance, UniCredit Bank Austria and Sweden’s Stadshypotek mandated leads for three and five year deals respectively, to be launched in the near future.

After the pricing of Helaba’s Eu1bn 5 year no grow and Crédit Agricole’s $1.5bn 3.25 year, SBAB’s Swedish Covered Bond Corp is in the market on Thursday with a Eu1bn no grow five year. From here on issuance could start to fall — as a number of factors conspire.

During the crisis, the Nordic covered bond market firmly established its credentials as an anchor of stability, with spreads holding firm and borrowers maintaining their access to the market. Since then, continued strong demand for exposure to the region has supported a further narrowing of spreads relative to other core European covered bonds. In the EuroWeek/Natixis Nordic covered bond roundtable, a number of leading issuers from the region discussed the underlying reasons for this strength, and the outlook for the market.

A new transparency initiative was unveiled at Thursday’s European Covered Bond Council plenary session in Stockholm. The prospective new standards will dovetail with a separate transparency initiative by the European Central Bank – potentially implying a material funding benefit for those that comply. The initiative is likely to help quell the clamour for cover pool data, raised most recently by credit intensive investors which have conspicuously swelled demand this year – as well as help investors form a view that is independent of credit ratings.

A quartet of 10 year trades was launched this week, with ABN Amro, Crédit Mutuel Arkéa Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken, and Eurohypo all tapping the long end of the curve. While ABN Amro and Crédit Mutuel Arkéa executed successful trades which have since performed well in the secondary market, Germany’s Eurohypo priced just inside Sweden’s SEB on Friday. One syndicate official said the outcome may signal a new chapter for covered bonds.