Spain

Covered bond investors switched from short into longer dated covered bonds on Monday, secondary market dealers reported, while second tier peripheral bonds continued to attract interest. However, there was better profit taking in multi-Cédulas, which offer a modest spread over government bonds.

Ratings dominated the covered bond market on Tuesday as several Spanish deals were upgraded, while Austria’s Hypo Alpe-Adria Bank’s covered bonds were downgraded. A number of core issuers are monitoring the market, but are not yet ready to the pay the new issue premiums being demanded.

Investor appetite has shifted to non-national champions, bankers told The Cover on Wednesday, with the window for issuance wide open for lower rated peripheral banks. A Portuguese issuer could step forward soon, one banker said.

Banco Popular Español was downgraded by Standard & Poor’s on Thursday and, though general market sentiment was clearly more risk averse, with Bonos underperforming Bunds, the borrower’s Cédulas was unchanged after recently being better bid. Meanwhile, Italian covered bonds remained well supported, even as renewed Italian political instability caused BTPs to sell off.

Cédulas Territoriales, Spanish covered bonds backed by public sector assets, have benefitted from extraordinary state sponsored liquidity support programmes and this is credit positive, said Moody’s on Tuesday.

Nine euro issuers took advantage of strong market conditions to raise €8bn in covered bond funding during the first week of the year. The issuers collectively attracted €17bn of demand spread over more than 900 orders, but the pick of the bunch were two borrowers from Spain and Portugal who attracted by far the highest levels of over-subscription over the broadest range of investors.

Portuguese and Spanish issuers, Caixa Geral de Depósitos and Banco Mare Nostrum launched deals on Wednesday that, despite being aggressively priced, were heavily oversubscribed. The deals showed demand is clearly skewed to higher yielding credits, boding well for second and third tier peripheral issuers who are looking to cut central bank funding dependence.

Spain is set to follow Turkey and become the second country with a legal framework for issuing bonds backed by SME loans, according to BBVA CIB research.

There is an even chance that two deals could surface from Europe’s core and periphery next week, bankers said on Friday, but potential issuers have been perturbed by the performance of this week’s two deals, both of which have softened slightly. However, in both cases there were specific factors at work that are unlikely to impinge on prospective deals where there is high confidence of a strong reception.

Cajas Rurales Unidas plans to sell a five year Cédulas Hipotecarias on Thursday, six months after making its covered bond debut. However, this is unlikely to herald a wave of Spanish covered bonds, said bankers. The issuer’s first deal had widened considerably following a Moody’s rating downgrade, but now trades well inside the reoffer.

Spanish covered bonds issued by tier two banks could fare better than their Italian equivalents, even though Italian spreads have been less volatile than Spanish ones this year, RBS said on Thursday.

Repossessed Spanish properties are being sold at levels on average 71.6% lower than original valuations, Fitch said on Thursday. New mortgages are being originated with LTVs of 100%, affordability has not improved since 2008 and housing stock remains exceptionally high, its report said.