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  • Sunrise in The Gambia, West Africa
    Emerging Markets
    Uncertainty the only certainty for CEEMEA issuers in 2024
    If 2023 was a better year for CEEMEA bond issuers it is no great claim; 2022 was dreadful. But investors have gained a degree of comfort over the path of interest rates, giving hope — but not confidence — of a further rebound in the primary market in 2024, write Francesca Young and George Collard
    Francesca Young, December 15, 2023
  • Aerial view of Midtown Manhattan skyscrapers at Sunset, Murray Hill, New York City
    ABS
    US MBS and CLOs have to find a way through leaner times but ABS blossoms
    The eclectic nature of US securitization left some sectors of the market flourishing and others floundering in 2023. Ayse Kelce, Kunyi Yang and Tom Lemmon look at which corners of the market have reason for cheer and whether there’s an expectation of a turnaround in sluggish or struggling sectors
    Ayse Kelce, December 15, 2023
  • Marathon race runners
    SSA
    SSAs left thankful for fast start after fatigue sets in
    Marathon runners fear the dreaded wall — the point near the end of a race where all energy and hope is drained. SSA issuers made it over the line with their funding in 2023 but there were signs of a flagging market in the final, hard yards, writes Georgie Lee
    Georgie Lee, December 15, 2023
  • Time duration clock from Alamy 22Dec23 575x375
    Corporate Bonds
    Corporate bond investors rediscover duration but see spreads widening
    Europe’s corporate bond market kept working throughout a rough year of interest rate rises, despite some bashes along the way. As Mike Turner reports, investors now sense that rates have peaked and some are willing to take the risk of buying longer-term debt — but no one expects 2024 to be a smooth ride.
    Mike Turner, December 15, 2023
  • High wind Spray Waves Fistral Newquay North Cornwall UK weather
    Corporate Bonds
    Hold on to your hats: 2024 will bring not one new paradigm but two
    After a year of central bank tightening, corporate bond specialists are figuring out how ‘higher for longer’ will affect credit. As Mike Turner found in his survey, senior bankers and investors across Europe expect subdued volume, wider spreads, spots of credit anxiety — and then a new regime of economic stress and falling rates
    Mike Turner, December 15, 2023
  • The illuminated logo of Swiss bank Credit Suisse is seen behind a clock at the banks headquarters at Paradeplatz in Zurich, Switzerland on Saturday, March 18, 2023. (Michael Buholzer/Keystone via AP)
    People and Markets
    Who’s eating Credit Suisse
    When the shockwave set off by the failure of Silicon Valley Bank swept the legs from under Credit Suisse, all the talent and relationships of a big investment bank were up for grabs. UBS has tried to hang on to what it sees as the best bits — but the biggest beneficiaries are likely to be rivals. Jon Hay and David Rothnie report
    Jon Hay, December 15, 2023
  • Competitors in the 2014 London Marathon.
    Securitization
    European ABS and CLO markets ready to roll but rocky road lies ahead
    European ABS market participants are optimistic about 2024, despite the persistence of rates volatility and economic fears. While poor arbitrage haunts the CLO market, managers are ready to tighten the straps on their captive equity funds and soldier on. George Smith and Victoria Thiele assess the market outlook for European securitized products
    George Smith, December 15, 2023
  • FIG
    Bumper covered bonds volumes as issuers face crises without ECB shield
    The main consideration for eurozone banks at the start of 2023 was to garner what remained of the ECB bid for covered bonds but by the end of the year they had negotiated not one but two crises. Sarah Ainsworth reports on how, despite all the volatility, they navigated another strong year for issuance
    Sarah Ainsworth, December 15, 2023
  • Street sign of Wall Street in the Financial District, New York City
    Equity IPOs
    European banks look to ECM specialisms to end Wall Street dominance
    A dreadful year for ECM volumes has not helped European banks play a bigger part in EMEA equity capital markets. But there are dreams of a better 2024 and, as John Crabb and Aidan Gregory report, Europe’s banks have specialisms up their sleeves to help them grab market share
    John Crabb, December 15, 2023
  • A bright red and white swiss flag flying in the wind with flowers and glacier covered peaks in the background in La Fouly, Switzerland
    Competition heats up in thriving Swiss market
    The Swiss franc bond market weathered the collapse of one of its two biggest players in 2023 to enjoy its busiest year since 2014. Investors welcomed foreign issuers from all quarters with open arms and, as Sophie Astles writes, those visitors may be here to stay
    Sophie Astles, December 15, 2023
  • FIG
    Banks’ senior and sub funding cocktail: rocky start with a smooth finish
    Observers could have been forgiven for thinking the additional tier one market might be as defunct as Credit Suisse, the bank whose demise mired it in controversy. By the autumn AT1s had come roaring back but, as Sarah Aisnworth reports, this was not 2023’s only wild ride in the FIG primary market
    Sarah Ainsworth, December 15, 2023
  • scale of the old wooden metronome in close-up
    Regulation
    European securitization dancing slow as ‘mood music’ turns upbeat
    For the first time since the global financial crisis, there is optimism that much-needed positive and proportionate regulatory reform is coming to European securitization. Yet there is a long way to go before glimmers of hope translate into concrete changes or have a meaningful impact, write Tom Lemmon and George Smith.
    Tom Lemmon, December 15, 2023
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