Principal Capital Management is planning to shift an additional 5%, or $325 million, of its $6.5 billion in multi-sector portfolios into mortgage-backed securities, says Lisa Stange, portfolio manager and bond strategist. She says the move will occur when the Lehman Brothers SOX index--which measures short-dated swaption volatility--pulls back from its recent highs of 43.5. She declined to offer a specific figure that would trigger the move, other than noting she seeks a level of short volatility that is more historically normal. The trade, to be financed by the sale of Treasuries in the five-to 10-year sector, is being put on because MBS, as well as callable agencies, traditionally outperform as volatility decreases, given the decreased probability of consumer refinancing. The trade would involve current coupon Ginnie Mae and conventional pass-throughs.
August 11, 2002