European synthetic collateralized debt obligation volumes rocketed last year, while the number of cash flow deals remained, at best, flat. "What I thought might take five or six years happened in two years. The speed surprised me," exclaimed Ebo Coleman, v.p. and senior credit officer at Moody's Investors Service in London. End-of-year figures obtained by DW, due to be published by the rating agencies in the coming weeks, show the number of synthetic CDOs increasing up to three fold, whereas cash flow deals have either stagnated or fallen. Standard & Poor's rated 60 synthetic CDOs and 21 cash flow deals in 2002 versus 17 synthetic and 24 cash flow CDOs in 2001. Moody's Investors Service rated 158 synthetic deals in 2002 compared with 107 synthetic CDOs the previous year. It rated 26 cash CDOs in both years. Standard & Poor's figures only include public transactions, so the proportion of synthetic CDOs is likely to be even higher as more private deals are synthetic.
January 13, 2003