Brandywine Asset Management will rotate $500 million, or 20% of the firm's global sovereign portfolio, out of 10-year European sovereign debt into one- to two-year sovereign bonds, in a strategy designed to shorten duration, says Stephen Smith, portfolio manager. The move, he adds, is likely to take place next month after the European Central Bank cuts interest rates, with Smith anticipating a 50 basis point cut. If his prediction is correct, sovereign bonds in Europe will appreciate, offering a good selling opportunity. Smith has not decided yet which sovereign credits he will purchase, as this choice will depend on currency rates at the time of the rotation.
January 12, 2003