Norway

The larger than expected Eu600m tap of Bankinter’s two year cédulas speaks to potential demand for tier two Spanish issuers. Though no firm rumours are in the market for peripheral issuance next week, bankers believe the moment is there – particularly given that a less certain growth outlook may potentially close the funding window for more challenged names.

Moody’s fifth covered bond monitoring overview suggests that Norwegian covered bonds have the highest collateral quality, according to Bernd Volk, head of European agency and covered bond research at Deutsche Bank. The report also indicates the collateral risk of Portuguese and Irish bonds, has deteriorated, while the cover pools of Spanish and Greek issuers have the highest loss expectancy, said Volk.

During the crisis, the Nordic covered bond market firmly established its credentials as an anchor of stability, with spreads holding firm and borrowers maintaining their access to the market. Since then, continued strong demand for exposure to the region has supported a further narrowing of spreads relative to other core European covered bonds. In the EuroWeek/Natixis Nordic covered bond roundtable, a number of leading issuers from the region discussed the underlying reasons for this strength, and the outlook for the market.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp’s intransigent position on the US Covered Bond Act 2011 is likely to provoke increasing ire among US banks as they watch wave upon wave of European issuers taking advantage of liquidity in their own backyard. DNB Nor Boligkredit and Swedbank are the latest to take advantage of this rich seam of competitive financing, raising as much as $4bn between them this week.

The stream of Scandinavian borrowers pricing US dollar denominated covered bonds is continuing, as Moody’s assigned a rating to a Nordea’s new programme and Swedbank priced a dual tranche deal. Other Scandinavians are set to follow.

US dollar denominated covered bond issuance is set for growth, as demand is far outpacing supply, regardless of whether a US law is put a law in place, and European issuers are lining up deals for launch. Funding executives from many institutions explained their strategies at the 3rd Euromoney US Covered Bond Investor Forum on Wednesday this week.

Sparebanken Vest Boligkreditt launched its second publically sold covered bond yesterday (Monday). In contrast to France there was no obvious new issue premium, and given its small size and the rarity of Norwegian issuance, the deal was always likely to be an easy sell.

After good buying in the long end of the French curve at the end of last week, spurred by the back-up in yields, secondary market activity has slowed markedly and the focus is once again back on the primary where there are several deals are in play. The Italian market is taking centre stage amid concerns that one issuer might crowd out the other.

The covered bond market has experienced its busiest ever week with as many as 15 deals pricing, giving a grand total of about Eu19bn over the holiday shortened week.

The iTraxx senior financials is trading wider ahead of the release of the EC’s latest draft consultation paper, which is likely to confirm suspicions that an EU wide initiative on bank bail-ins is going to be hard-coded into regulation.

DnB Nor Boligkreditt came to market yesterday (Tuesday) with a Eu2bn five year transaction, which leads Barclays Capital, Citibank, Goldman Sachs and HSBC priced at 32bp over mid swaps, in line with guidance of the low 30s area.