Norway

On Thursday, Nordea took advantage of the flight to quality bid, scarcity of short end Scandinavian supply and sizeable bank treasury and central bank interest to launch and price a Eu2bn three year covered bond backed by Finnish prime residential mortgages. Timing and choice of lead played an important role in attracting top quality Asian demand.

UBS made its first appearance in the covered market for over a year on Thursday. The Swiss borrower will price later today a three times oversubscribed Eu1bn five year deal, which a syndicate lead said had achieved the tightest pricing in that maturity outside of Pfandbriefe, since the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Scandanvian borrowers have joined their French and German core colleagues to take advantage of a market highly receptive to quality issuance. SpareBank 1 Boligkredit tapped the dollar space on Tuesday, while Nordea Bank Finland priced a well oversubscribed three year euro trade on Thursday. Aktia real estate mortgage bank has mandated banks for a series of investor meetings beginning in early June.

Two European banks have issued benchmark dollar covered bonds this week, taking advantage of US investor interest in triple-A assets.

Société Générale convinced almost 150 accounts to participate in its debut euro Obligations de financement de l'habitat. The trade exceeded the already high expectations of syndicate officials following the first euro OH from BPCE.

Secondary trading has paused for breath lately, but there are still good pockets of liquidity and interest – specifically for French, UK and to a lesser extent Dutch and Scandinavian deals. The primary market could be due another slow week though a French deal is highly likely, with Société Générale tipped as a probable candidate. UK issuers are looking at the dollar market but there is speculation that one is looking at sterling.

Primary market activity was confined to a lone mandate from Dexia Municipal Agency on Monday, though issuers across core Europe are watching the market closely, said syndicate officials.

April was the first month without record issuance, and the first in which total supply was less than that of the previous year. Deutsche Bank analysts report that year to date supply of euro benchmarks remains at a clear historical high however, with public issuance from the UK also at record levels. Borrowers from Norway and Spain, among others, have been suggested as likely candidates for next week, and though no mandates have been announced, syndicate officials said the market remains open for peripheral and core names alike.

The larger than expected Eu600m tap of Bankinter’s two year cédulas speaks to potential demand for tier two Spanish issuers. Though no firm rumours are in the market for peripheral issuance next week, bankers believe the moment is there – particularly given that a less certain growth outlook may potentially close the funding window for more challenged names.

Moody’s fifth covered bond monitoring overview suggests that Norwegian covered bonds have the highest collateral quality, according to Bernd Volk, head of European agency and covered bond research at Deutsche Bank. The report also indicates the collateral risk of Portuguese and Irish bonds, has deteriorated, while the cover pools of Spanish and Greek issuers have the highest loss expectancy, said Volk.

During the crisis, the Nordic covered bond market firmly established its credentials as an anchor of stability, with spreads holding firm and borrowers maintaining their access to the market. Since then, continued strong demand for exposure to the region has supported a further narrowing of spreads relative to other core European covered bonds. In the EuroWeek/Natixis Nordic covered bond roundtable, a number of leading issuers from the region discussed the underlying reasons for this strength, and the outlook for the market.