Norway
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Germany’s Helaba broke ranks with cautious covered bond issuers on Tuesday to launch the first euro benchmark trade for two weeks. The rare borrower found strong demand for a €1bn public sector backed transaction, and another deal out of core Europe is expected on Wednesday, said syndicate bankers.
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Spread tightening has stalled after the first quarter rally, according to DZ analysts, who urged investors to reposition themselves in preparation for spread widening. But with many investors still on holiday, the secondary market has become easier to move with smaller tickets, and traders said it was too early to draw conclusions from an increase in selling.
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Axa Bank Europe SCF launched its third and largest euro benchmark covered bond on Tuesday, pricing a €1bn trade at the tight end of guidance. Investors seemed untroubled by the rare RMBS collateral, allowing Axa to follow recent French trades in offering a minimal new issue concession.
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Norway’s Sparebank 1 Boligkreditt became the third European issuer to bring a five year dollar deal in the last two weeks, with all three deals offering the same spread. Also in North America, the Canadian government released its 2012 budget, though details of prospective covered bond legislation remain scarce.
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Top tier names can offer zero premiums on primary trades but lower ranked issuers have no such luxury, syndicate officials told The Cover on Monday.
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DNB Boligkreditt showed that, for the right name from the right jurisdiction, yield hungry investors will make concessions to get exposure. The strength of interest for its latest 10 year offering allowed it to push both spread and size, and still leave appetite unsated.
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DNB Boligkreditt and Leeds Building Society took advantage of very buoyant conditions to launch €2bn 10 year and £250m three year trades respectively. But, with the spread to senior unsecured continuing to tighten, the incentive to issue covered bonds is becoming less clear-cut for higher yielding credits.
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A Norwegian issuer – believed to be DnB Nor Boligkreditt is considering a 10 year trade, but is struggling to offer an attractive coupon in such a low yield environment, syndicate officials said on Wednesday. Though real money accounts are long cash and eager to put money to work, they may have to move down the credit curve to hit their targets.
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The Norwegian Covered Bond Council is trail blazing the Covered Bond Investor Council’s transparency initiative with a data template that sets a great example. Not only does it go well beyond the initial wish list, it also provides additional collateral pool information that until now had not been published by Norwegian issuers.
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The performance of cover pools has deteriorated, Crédit Agricole research has found after examining Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch’s data. But this is not because of worsening credit risk but rather because of market risk.
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Sparebanken Vest Boligkreditt (SVB) uncovered €1.6bn of demand in one hour and priced the tightest Norwegian deal this year on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Erste Bank is looking to issue a new 10-year.
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Issuers could hardly hope for a better backdrop to bring benchmark deals. Bond yields are falling and investors are looking to put cash to work across a swathe of asset classes to capitalise on the rally, as seen most emphatically in the senior unsecured market this week. Yet Norway’s Sparebank Vest Boligkreditt remains the only obvious candidate for a deal next week.