Norway

The covered bond market is gearing up to restart next week, said syndicate bankers, who expect at least two benchmark trades to hit the screens. German and Scandinavian borrowers are tipped as the most likely candidates to take advantage of squeezed secondary levels. But with no end to spread contraction in sight, the urge to wait and watch levels grind tighter could cause some borrowers to hold off.

The stressed cover pool losses of Australia’s covered bonds are worse than those in core Europe, Moody’s first performance overview of the jurisdiction revealed on Tuesday. However, Australia still boasts highly rated issuers and impressive collateral scores.

Secondary covered bonds spreads are grinding tighter as buyers faced with negative yields in the sovereign market drive short dated covered yields towards zero. While core jurisdictions wallow in a sea of demand, investors are still averse to peripheral paper, but the wide spread gap could cause Spanish and Italian spreads to bounce back, said bankers.

Terra Boligkreditt launched its largest ever covered bond this week and, with increasing redemptions and a growing mortgage book it could soon become an issuer of jumbo deals, its chief executive told The Cover. In addition, a new ownership structure will provide liquidity and capital support, and is expected to lead to rating uplift.

Terra Boligkreditt followed Nordic peer DNB Boligkreditt with a seven year benchmark on Tuesday. Boasting a new ownership structure and collateral of exemplary quality, Terra priced a well received trade inside its outstanding curve.

Demand for safe-haven high quality paper played an important role in drawing DNB Boligkreditt to market this week. The borrower sold a successful €1.5bn trade, though it told The Cover it had not intended to launch a deal.

DNB Boligkreditt got the covered bond market off to a flying start on Monday with a €1.5bn seven year benchmark deal. Norwegian peer Terra Boligkreditt has readied its own euro trade and could launch on Tuesday, while two German issuers have mandated for five year mortgage Pfandbriefe.

Despite the holiday shortened week, activity in the secondary covered bond market has been relatively good. Though not all houses attest to seeing flows, some banks have seen quite a lot. German and Scandinavian markets are very well supported, the UK has performed very well, France is mixed and Spain is offered.

Germany’s Helaba broke ranks with cautious covered bond issuers on Tuesday to launch the first euro benchmark trade for two weeks. The rare borrower found strong demand for a €1bn public sector backed transaction, and another deal out of core Europe is expected on Wednesday, said syndicate bankers.

Spread tightening has stalled after the first quarter rally, according to DZ analysts, who urged investors to reposition themselves in preparation for spread widening. But with many investors still on holiday, the secondary market has become easier to move with smaller tickets, and traders said it was too early to draw conclusions from an increase in selling.

Axa Bank Europe SCF launched its third and largest euro benchmark covered bond on Tuesday, pricing a €1bn trade at the tight end of guidance. Investors seemed untroubled by the rare RMBS collateral, allowing Axa to follow recent French trades in offering a minimal new issue concession.

Norway’s Sparebank 1 Boligkreditt became the third European issuer to bring a five year dollar deal in the last two weeks, with all three deals offering the same spread. Also in North America, the Canadian government released its 2012 budget, though details of prospective covered bond legislation remain scarce.