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Germany

  • Standard and Poor’s brutal six notch downgrade of the Depfa ACS public sector backed covered bonds, from double A to triple B, matches the severity of downgrades that have been seen in several Spanish multi-Cédulas deals. But unlike those deals, this deal was issued by the Irish entity of a German parent bank.
  • WL Bank priced its first deal since May last year and the first 10 year Pfandbrief of the year. Despite coming at a tight spread, relative to other covered bond sectors, it sold out within an hour and was heavily oversubscribed.
  • The global covered bond market continues to look strong, with a trio of issuers collectively raising the equivalent of more than €4.5bn, on the back of more than €9bn in demand across two currencies. But whether the market’s euphoria can hold out until the end of this week, however, remains to be seen as doubts are starting to creep back in with Thursday’s Greek liability management cut off date fast approaching.
  • The performance of cover pools has deteriorated, Crédit Agricole research has found after examining Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch’s data. But this is not because of worsening credit risk but rather because of market risk.
  • Deutsche Bank pulled in more than €2bn of orders for the third German Pfandbrief of 2012. Leads priced the €500m no grow trade at 22bp on Wednesday, making it the tightest trade of the year so far, and the bond tightened further in the secondary market on Thursday.
  • The tightest and widest transactions of 2012 were priced on Wednesday, with Bankia launching a two year Cédulas at 290bp over mid-swaps, while Deutsche Bank priced a blow-out seven year trade at 22bp over mid-swaps.
  • Tightening spreads and bulging order books since January have failed to lure German banks into issuance. The rate at which the banks are deleveraging and retreating from foreign markets has made financing through wholesale markets completely redundant. But they will still need to put their new balance sheets to work, and Fitch has questioned whether the domestic market is large enough to absorb this lending without mispricing.
  • Rabobank's Obvion managed to almost double the size of its Storm 2012-1 RMBS, while tightening pricing on the short tranche by 10bp. The success of the trade surpassed expectations of market participants. Though covered bonds would be cheaper, the RMBS financing is isolated enough to protect the bank's top senior rating.
  • Barclays Capital’s new fiscal strength covered bond indices, which adjust the market value weighted exposure of country risk based on fiscal strength, have won the support of investors polled by The Cover.
  • Covered bond supply was restricted to an impressive €850m tap from BPCE on Thursday, taking the number of long dated French transactions already this year to six.
  • A series of mandates from outside the eurozone hit screens on Friday. Australian, New Zealand and Norwegian issuers could all launch in the next two weeks, while three Turkish banks have hired UniCredit Menkul Degerler for trades in 2012.
  • As a result of deal announcements and the new issue premium, secondary market turnover has been hit, with spreads moving on little volume. Curves have conspicuously steepened in France but DexMA remains out of line.