France
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Swedish banks head a group of possible covered bond issuers, despite resurgent volatility. The Swedes have largely stayed away from the euro market so far this year, opting instead to rely on domestic demand. But analysts still expect the need for diversification and name recognition among Swedish banks to yield euro benchmarks.
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After a flurry of trades from four jurisdictions during the covered bond market’s busiest week in months, the Spanish sovereign downgrade foiled hopes for further issuance on Thursday. But German Pfandbriefe issuers have thrived on volatility, while Caisse de Refinancement de l’Habitat has demonstrated the thirst for yield among European investors. As such the setback in core supply should be merely temporary.
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Caisse de Refinancement de l’Habitat launched the largest French covered bond in months when it tapped a 12 year trade for an impressive €750m on Wednesday. But despite evident domestic demand, follow on trades are likely to have to wait until after the Greek elections.
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The recent run of Pfandbriefe looks set to continue, with at least two more German credits closely monitoring the market. Meanwhile, a rally in OATs combined with an enduring domestic bid mean the first French covered in two months could be only days away, said syndicate bankers.
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The UK’s Clydesdale Bank has finished a domestic roadshow and could launch an inaugural benchmark mid-week after receiving final investor feedback on Tuesday. Australia’s Suncorp Bank, meanwhile, is expected to announce a formal mandate for its own domestic debut later in the week.
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A phenomenal reception for three Pfandbrief benchmarks this week has raised hopes that fresh German trades will maintain primary momentum next week. Meanwhile, French sovereign and agency paper has tightened strongly in secondary.
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Funding officials at French mortgage lender 3CIF have told The Cover they had no choice but to keep investors in the dark regarding the suspension of trading in the firm's debt from Euronext and the Luxembourg stock exchange just over two weeks ago.
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Borrowers could decide to switch senior projects into covered trades, syndicate bankers told The Cover. This would follow the example Nordea set in April when it turned a planned senior deal into a blow out seven year covered deal.
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The radio silence surrounding the suspension in 3CIF bonds this week is a textbook case of How Not To Do Investor Relations.
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This week’s shocking suspension of Caisse Centrale du Crédit Immobilier de France’s covered bonds from Euronext and the Luxembourg stock exchange has left capital market participants bewildered and angry.
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France’s Caisse de Refinancement de l'Habitat has held back its possible deal after the market weakened and uncertainty continued over the trading suspension of CIF Euromortgage’s covered bonds. As parent company 3CIF’s silence over the suspension stretched into its third day, one banker told The Cover the lack of communications with investors was “a disaster”.
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Non-Eurozone supply remains in high demand, but Caisse de Refinancement de l'Habitat (CRH) could be the first core European name to test the water this week, syndicate bankers told The Cover.