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Spread convergence between EU and non-EU covered bonds will take time, but is expected
Regulator in favour of equivalence in long awaited report
Downgrade 'pretty much priced in' for French bank and covered paper
Demand supported by resurgent asset manager bid
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Underlying concerns among investors and issuers about covered bonds force them to the sidelines
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Market participants agree new issue premiums will go up when the Iran war ends, but not by how much
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Specialist investors and strong names dominate as issuers stretch out to 15 years
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Unsecured bonds could become more expensive to issue, covered bonds cheaper
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The euro covered bond market shook off a volatile end to 2024 to rebound with a raft of exceptionally popular deals in 2025. Investors appeared eager to pile into euro covered bond books this year, propelling bid-to-cover ratios upwards and new issue premium downwards, writes Frank Jackman
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Covered bond funders will have to weave their way through tight senior unsecured and wide SSA spreads in 2026 if they are to refinance the wave of redemptions that awaits them. One big question for the year ahead, discovers Frank Jackman, is whether issuers will be tempted to pay up for duration