Euro

Since its inception in 2008, Canada’s covered bond market has grown steadily to become the cornerstone of US dollar supply. The next step will be the enactment of a covered bond law which will allow Canadian banks to reach investors across the globe. Between regulation and legislation, however, Canadian covered bond issuers face stringent limitations on the product’s use.

Australia’s largest lender, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), will hold talks with investors ahead of its debut covered bond, it said on Wednesday. The country’s issuers are lining up to make their first forays into covered bonds after domestic legislation received Royal Assent this week.

Despite a widening yield spread between France and Germany, French covered bonds continue to perform well, bolstered by support from domestic investors. French issuers, prescient of their 2012 funding needs and the risk to their country’s top rating, could be tempted to return to the markets with a benchmark before the end of the month.

Coventry Building Society got the covered bond market off to strong start on Monday morning launching its first euro trade amid a general upturn in sentiment. Core Europe is also showing signs of life, with UniCredit Bank Austria mandating for a public sector backed transaction.

UniCredit Bank Austria will look to bring its third benchmark covered bond of the year in the next few days, market conditions permitting. The issuer can expect strong participation from Austrian and German investors, but it is also visiting investors in Helsinki and Copenhagen on Tuesday in a bid for more Nordic interest.

New Zealand’s ANZ National sold the first of what will be yearly euro trades, launching a €500m five year transaction which found broad support across investors and jurisdictions.

Hypo Noe unexpectedly announced a three year transaction, having decided to hold off earlier in the month due to price sensitivity. Meanwhile ANZ New Zealand brought its long awaited covered bond debut, a five year euro deal, having postponed it in early June.

DnB Nor proved jumbo transactions with minimal premia were possible on Tuesday, launching a well received five year trade expected to be €2bn in size. Credit Suisse meanwhile paid up handsomely for a seven year transaction not helped by the difficult tenor.

Caisse de Refinancement de l'Habitat is poised to price a €1.4bn 12-year deal at the tight end of mid-swaps plus 120bp-125bp spread guidance. With a book in the region of €1.6bn, supported by robust Nordic, German and UK demand, the deal is a strong endorsement of the French banking system. Though there is doubt over whether other French issuers will follow its lead, the market is clearly there for the right name at the right price — as today’s DNB Nor Boligkreditt’s mandate announcement illustrated.

The mood has clearly improved following yesterday’s ECB announcement on the second round of covered bond purchasing, and whilst there are hopes that issuance will begin to improve next week, its going to be a trickle and not a stream. Moreover, the programme will do little to allay fears over the peripheral sovereign outlook or their banks' access to the markets. Investors are expected to remain in risk off mode until November 3rd, when more details will be known.

Hopes of primary market supply evaporated on Tuesday morning as global equity markets dropped and European iTraxx indices and peripheral CDS widened further. In the secondary market activity focused on the embattled Dexia Municipal Agency, with its spreads widening 20bp across the curve. Dexia’s triple-A covered bond rating is under threat, though talk of its parent bank being placed into joint venture with French entities Banque Postale and Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations could bode well for its covered bonds.

After being among the main beneficiaries of tightening secondary spreads last week, Dexia’s outstanding paper pushed out again on Monday. The group’s share price dropped sharply after Moody’s placed the ratings of Dexia’s three main operating entities on negative review. The agency is concerned about Dexia’s access to short term funding and the increase in the amount of collateral the institution is having to use to hedge derivatives.