Euro

Covered bond bankers and investors reacted with scepticism to the European Covered Bond Council (ECBC)’s proposed new dual-recourse bond structure. The lack of standardisation across SME reporting means that using them in the collateral pool will be problematic. In addition, even if these concerns are ironed out, issuers will have to pay up for the product, something which makes little sense in such a low cost environment.

Bankers are preparing the ground for the first Turkish covered bond with both Akbank and Garanti Bank preparing extensive investor roadshows. Batuhan Tufan, head of funding at Garanti Bank, told The Cover on Tuesday that he is confident supply will sell. However syndicate bankers question whether issuance will fit more closely with emerging market, or covered bond investor portfolios. In any case pricing is expected to be wide of the sovereign.

Bund yields, which have soared over the past week, began to stabilise on Tuesday, leading to optimism about the return of real money to the covered bond markets.

The relative value of covered bonds compared to sovereign bonds has improved, but the pace of European Central Bank buying has not slackened, as had been widely hoped. And even though the ECB has marginally scaled back primary market purchases this year compared to last, it remains an aggressive secondary market buyer.

Moody’s said on Thursday that, should Greece leave the euro, investors in Greek covered bonds would still likely receive payments in euros. Given that there are barely any Greek covered bonds held by third party investors, and the fact that the research is predicated on Grexit, the discussion is largely theoretical.

A triumphant first Grüner Pfandbrief has snapped the covered bond market out of its recent decline, bringing new buyers to a product that many investors abandoned this year as the European Central Bank’s purchases crowded them out, writes Bill Thornhill.

Northern Rock Asset Management (NRAM) set the early redemption price for its €2bn 3.875% November 2020s. It is looking to buy back all the notes with a tender offer and consent solicitation and will hold a meeting next week.

Northern Rock Asset Management (NRAM) will repurchase its €2bn 3.875% November 2020s at 121.494.

The outlook for peripheral covered bonds is still positive, and despite the disappointing result achieved by Bank of Ireland on Wednesday, bankers expect further supply.

Bank of Ireland has priced the third covered bond from Ireland this year and, in contrast to BNP Paribas which issued a 10 year deal on Tuesday, it paid a decent 3bp-4bp new issue premium for the seven year offering. Despite that, it was the issuer's least subscribed deal since 2012.

The Spanish government has published a new securitization law which is expected to allow issuers to structure covered bonds backed by a segregated pool. The move could spur issuers to consider conditional pass through structures backed by a broad range of assets, said analysts at Moody’s and Société Générale.

Until recently, green covered bonds were always more of a theoretical discussion than one that had taken root. But on Monday, the asset class took a giant leap forward as Berlin Hyp issued its €500m seven year Grüner Pfandbrief, a transaction that was placed with many new types of investor. The deal could be just what the central bank-oppressed market needs.