Currencies
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ASB Finance launched an inaugural €500m euro benchmark on Tuesday. Pricing was aggressive, said leads, though syndicate bankers away from the trade felt it offered a considerable premium over ASB’s Australian parent, Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
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New Zealand’s ASB Finance has picked banks to arrange its an inaugural covered bond, and could launch a five year euro deal as early as Tuesday morning, said syndicate leads. A poor market opening and a European Union summit on Thursday, however, mean covered issuers have only a two day mid-week window in which launch prospective trades.
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The results of stress tests conducted by consultancies Oliver Wyman and Roland Berger on Spanish banks are unlikely to improve sentiment on Spanish Cédulas, analysts said on Friday.
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The Association of German Pfandbrief Banks (vdp) has responded to Moody’s assertion that its latest transparency initiative has shortcomings. The rating agency said plans to factor sovereign risk into public sector cover pool calculations do not take into account duration risk. But the vdp claims its proposals are already more conservative than those suggested by Moody’s.
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There has been plenty of interest in core and even peripheral names in the secondary market this week, especially at the long end, where investors have been tempted by juicy Spanish yields. A briefly negative basis in covered versus CDS spurred interest.
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Spanish covered bonds are set to lose the support of bank treasuries and insurance accounts due to ratings triggers. As a result Spanish issuers face a world of credit buyers and senior level spreads as the Cédulas sector slides towards single-A, Crédit Agricole said analysts on Wednesday.
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Despite long being lauded as one of the very few effective private sector solutions for wholesale mortgage funding, covered bonds are not quite so divorced from the state as they might seem. As the bank finance market evolves in Europe, is it possible that the implied state support seen in the most longstanding regime is, over time, replicated in other regimes?
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Swedish banks head a group of possible covered bond issuers, despite resurgent volatility. The Swedes have largely stayed away from the euro market so far this year, opting instead to rely on domestic demand. But analysts still expect the need for diversification and name recognition among Swedish banks to yield euro benchmarks.
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Spanish banks’ issuance of retained covered bonds has surged, said Moody’s on Monday, as refinancing needs and the threat of deposit flight drives issuers to the European Central Bank. Together with defaulting loans and scant growth in mortgage lending, the surge will hit overcollateralisation hard, just as a fresh barrage of Cédulas downgrades are poised to make OC requirements more onerous.
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Italian and Spanish covered bonds widened on Monday morning under sovereign pressure, drowning out any movement on Intesa Sanpaolo’s public sector backed bonds as a result of the issuer’s exchange offer. The borrower will exchange public sector covered bonds into new mortgage backed bonds of the same coupon and maturity, after Moody’s downgraded the public sector bonds.
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Moody’s has welcomed a proposal from the Association of German Pfandbrief Banks (vdp) to take account of peripheral sovereign risk in public sector backed cover pools by applying haircuts based on the probability of default.
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China’s Ministry of Finance is planning to sell a Rmb1bn 15 year tranche as part of its Rmb23bn ($3.6bn) offshore renminbi bond offering at the end of the month, the first time it has issued in the maturity. That could lead to a boost in longer-dated issuance, said bankers and investors.