Currencies

ING helped restart the market once again on Monday, launching the first benchmark from core Europe in almost a month. Despite an unusual eight year tenor buyers flocked to take down fresh supply, placing €3.5bn in orders for only the fourth Dutch benchmark of 2012.

Sparebank 1 Boligkreditt on Monday returned to the euro market for the first time since January. The rare borrower priced a five 1/2 year benchmark many times cheaper than where it sold a longer trade at the start of the year, exemplifying the sustained tightening in core covered spreads.

The covered bond market is gearing up to restart next week, said syndicate bankers, who expect at least two benchmark trades to hit the screens. German and Scandinavian borrowers are tipped as the most likely candidates to take advantage of squeezed secondary levels. But with no end to spread contraction in sight, the urge to wait and watch levels grind tighter could cause some borrowers to hold off.

After the drama and excitement of UniCredit pricing through BTPs, the European covered bond market has returned to normal — only to be outshone by senior unsecured, where three deals are on the way.

Intesa Sanpaolo was the most likely candidate to follow UniCredit’s groundbreaking €750m reopener, but could face an even higher spread, investors told The Cover on Wednesday. Italy also represents the only hope for peripheral supply in the short term, as Spain remains priced out of the primary.

UniCredit has rewritten the rulebook this week by pricing a covered bond 100bp tighter than where the Republic of Italy can fund itself. But, other than Intesa Sanpaolo, it is unlikely any other issuer could follow suit.

UniCredit drew a stellar reception for the first Italian benchmark in almost a year on Tuesday, with the vote of confidence for peripheral risk raising hopes for follow on trades from Italian and Spanish names.

Covered bonds are more stable, higher yielding and offer better protection than sovereign paper, according to Barclays analysts. But liquidity and security also drive investment decisions, and negative government bond yields show how much the market values both, an investor told The Cover.

Moody’s cut one Italian covered bond programme but left another unscathed this week, after the issuers amended their programmes to loosen ratings triggers. The rating agency believes relaxing programme standards hurts investors, but at least one borrower has been able to prevent downgrades through sufficient overcollateralisation.

Raiffeisenlandesbank Niederösterreich-Wien (RNW) is preparing to become the second Austrian Raiffeisenlanesbank to launch a public covered bond. The borrower begins a European roadshow in the second half of August and should bring its mortgage-backed debut in early September.

Covered bond issuers in core Europe have been taking steps to protect their southern European subsidiaries from currency reform should Spain or Italy be forced to abandon the euro.

Multi-cedulas suffered a swathe of downgrades from Standard & Poor’s on Thursday, but analysts and hedge funds say that deeply discounted prices of long-dated bonds look attractive.