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Where do investors look when JGBs and USTs are no longer reliable?
Asian buyers driving callable SSA market have resurfaced in public benchmark deals
Public sector issuers have become more flexible when executing cross-currency interest rate swaps
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Europe’s SMEs are in trouble. The coronavirus pandemic has zeroed revenues and threatens their very existence. They last faced a big threat in the 2008 crisis when bank lending dried up and a recession took hold. Back then, securitization took a lot of the blame as the cause, but this time it offers a route to rescue.
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Capital markets have not seized up when mediated through the home office. But with remote working set to be the norm for the foreseeable future, the finance industry must be alert to less perceptible problems.
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Caffil’s debut Covid-19 bond issued this week has shown that the moribund public sector covered bond market can play a crucial role in financing the response to the coronavirus crisis. The deal implies that the hitherto dormant public sector programmes many issuers have set up across Europe have scope to be reactivated to provide stable long-term financing for debt-ridden regional borrowers.
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The coronavirus has made fantastical numbers commonplace in the corporate bond market. Everywhere one looks, results are being published that in any other time would herald the sudden collapse of companies. But you wouldn’t guess that from looking at the corporate bond market.
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“Who remembers places?” ran a joke on social media as lockdowns swept the globe. The idea that something so fundamental could be forgotten so quickly applies to capital markets too. There, the joke might ask who remembers credit risk. But at a time when central banks seem keen to underwrite credit of almost every variety, maybe it doesn’t matter.
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Firms can spend vast amounts of time window-dressing their balance sheets to look the best they possibly can within the limits of reporting regulations. Within those limits, everything goes.