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Asian buyers driving callable SSA market have resurfaced in public benchmark deals
Public sector issuers have become more flexible when executing cross-currency interest rate swaps
Politically motivated prosecutions endanger democracy
Solutions exist but political will is necessary
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After a freeze brought about by the UK’s Brexit vote, the European capital markets are thawing. While only a tap, the German State of Hesse has reopened public sector bond markets. Perhaps it was no coincidence that Frankfurt, in Hesse, is eager to raise its profile as an alternative for financial firms wanting to leave London.
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Last Friday's force 12 financial hurricane had been downgraded to a storm in a rather British tea cup by Thursday as primary capital markets dusted themselves off and reopened with deals from across the spectrum. But don't relax yet — the UK’s EU vote may prove the catalyst for a host of horrors over the summer.
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Capital markets people thought Brexit would not happen because the UK electorate always chooses the sensible option in the end. But it hasn’t. -
Argentine province Salta paused bond plans this week because of Brexit uncertainty. Don’t expect it to wait long though: overall, global market pain is Argentina’s gain.
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Be under no illusion. A vote by Britain to leave the EU would be a cataclysmic event for the European capital markets. In the worst case scenario — Brexit kicking off a full EU collapse — it could make the horrors of late 2008 look like a picnic.
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The 10 year Bund yield came within a whisker of negative territory this week. While that may be seen as the complete breakdown of everything you ever thought you knew about bonds, for one closely related branch of issuers it represents a golden age.
