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Turbulent market conditions of the Middle East war have pushed bond issuers and investors to try new things
A swift response is tempting, but lenders should avoid kneejerk reaction
Talk of de-dollarisation has evaporated. The dollar market remains the undisputed king of financing
Inflation caused by war threatens budding recovery in commercial real estate
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There are those who believe a vote for the UK to leave the European Union represents a chance to peel back onerous regulations on business and finance. Those people are in for an unpleasant surprise.
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Financial markets had something of a horror movie moment last week when the UK voted to leave the European Union. The reaction in Asia though has yo-yoed from panic to indifference in a matter of days, as markets quickly regained their composure. But this is a mistake — there is no going back to business as usual.
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Financial regulation, for anyone following it closely, is a microcosm of the weaknesses and the strengths of the European Union. It is at times maddening, confusing, incoherent, and vindictive, but gives the countries of Europe a collective voice far stronger than any individual jurisdiction. And, slowly but surely, it is creating a single market for capital.
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When the covered bond purchase programme (CBPP3) began in October 2014, valuations had become severely overstretched, and not long after the purchasing began, the market came under considerable pressure. Valuations are once again looking overstretched across the board but more so in the corporate sector where eurosystem buying has also only just begun.
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Several equity capital market transactions mooted by the Indian government have ruffled feathers recently, with the mandates for Cochin Shipyard and NMDC delayed due to disagreements on low fees. But the government isn’t the one to blame. If banks want an end to price undercutting, they need to take action.
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Much of the debate around MSCI’s decision to not add A-shares has focused on China’s need to reduce its capital controls. But with Beijing unlikely to let go of the reins anytime soon and MSCI strident in its need for reform, the two sides have reached an impossible impasse unless a compromise can be made.