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A swift response is tempting, but lenders should avoid kneejerk reaction
Talk of de-dollarisation has evaporated. The dollar market remains the undisputed king of financing
Inflation caused by war threatens budding recovery in commercial real estate
Renewables can make Europe’s capital markets less vulnerable to energy price shocks
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Emerging market loan bankers are used to a little political drama but the recent spat between the Saudi-led group of six Arab states and Qatar has caused doubts about whether to engage in deals with Qatari exposure. This stance is understandable for pure Qatari credits but the penumbra of uncertainty has now spread to entities at one remove from Qatar. Banks should not be put off lending.
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National Bank of Greece’s ability to attract a high oversubscription for its three year covered bond on Tuesday showed it is on the road to recovery. But without sovereign debt relief, the precarious state of Greece’s government finances will continue to blight the economy and its fragile banks.
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Proposals from US treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin to “advance American interests in international financial regulatory negotiations and meetings” are part of a long tradition in the country’s regulatory rule making — global norms are honoured more in the breach than the observance. At least now the US is willing to admit it.
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A US Treasury report on capital markets, published on Friday, struck a populist tone, saying the rise of private credit at the expense of public market sources of financing has snatched money-making opportunities away from average Americans. But it is investment banking that has most to gain from a boost to public debt markets, not individual investors.
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Restricted tier one (RT1) bonds still do not make sense for Europe’s insurance industry and the asset class needs benchmark issuance before it can become a significant market in its own right. But the first deal in a major currency from ASR Nederland will be a very important line in the sand.
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As the industry continues to mature, marketplace lenders should drop their gimmicks and sell themselves on their underwriting records.