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Inflation caused by war threatens budding recovery in commercial real estate
Renewables can make Europe’s capital markets less vulnerable to energy price shocks
The market-shutting crisis this spring is very different to that which followed last year's US tariffs
Borrowers from the Gulf region have a track record of remarkable primary market prints
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The European Central Bank is likely to decide soon whether to launch a new targeted long-term refinancing operation (TLTRO III) for banks. The market may already be forcing its hand, but the EU’s fight with Italy means the choice has wide-reaching implications. -
Eurobank’s ambitious scheme to fully merge with its real estate firm Grivalia, hive off €7bn of NPLs, and sell a stake in its servicer was rightly welcomed by the market, with the shares bouncing on Monday morning and other Greek indices rallying. But it’s not something the country’s other banks can count on — the scheme relies on a generous backer, willing to double down on the troubled economy.
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Populist parties such as Italy’s Five Star Movement are winning elections on platforms of transparency, reducing waste and removing corruption. But the biggest waste of money in Italy this year has been the party’s futile budget standoff.
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Some equity investors are hoping for a surprise gift before year-end if Donald Trump strikes a deal with Chinese president Xi Jinping at the G-20 summit in Buenos Aires to end trade hostility between the two nations, but they're clutching at straws.
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The Asian equity-linked market had a rare treat last week when Country Garden Holdings sold a convertible bond using a call spread feature. Its success has ignited hopes of more such deals, but ECM bankers and issuers should be wary of mixing dreams with reality.
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Some Latin American DCM bankers think the year is over for new issuance, and several are indeed wishing it already were. Though much of what put the brakes on in Lat Am this year will continue to affect the market in 2019, bond bankers should find reasons to believe January will be better.
