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Weak or half-hearted response to Greenland threats will leave markets crumbling
Over the last week the US president has pushed to make homes and consumer credit more affordable but these policies risk unintended consequences
Issuance volumes may be high but demand is even higher. Credit issuers in particular should take full advantage
Hounding the Fed does not make the US bond market more attractive
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  • Donald Trump’s attacks on rising US interest rates have prompted outrage that the maverick president is trampling on the independence of the US Federal Reserve. However, while Trump’s style is unique, his intent to influence the Fed has plenty of precedents.
  • An old argument has rattled on for years between some CEEMEA issuers and banks about the wisdom of paying nothing to banks to arrange sovereign bonds. Uzbekistan has settled it.
  • Credit default swaps (CDS) are a complicated product. But the past year has presented a few examples of market participants resorting to ‘creative’ tactics to optimise payouts. If the market fails to respond to concerns around the viability of CDS, the product may have to be rethought.
  • A handful of outbound M&A deals announced in the second half of 2018 have given leveraged and acquisition finance bankers hopes for a rebound in action this year. But with many roadblocks ahead, being "cautiously optimistic" will be critical.
  • Hong Kong may have reclaimed its spot in 2018 as the world’s biggest stock exchange in terms of funds raised, but if early indications for the 2019 first quarter are anything to go by, the bourse is in for a tough time.
  • 2019 is likely to be another year where the independent mandate of central bankers comes under pressure from populist politicians in democracies. It is easy for those in the market to sympathise with the quiet technocrats over the loud-mouthed headbangers, but scrutiny is deserved.