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  • Turkey has had a sensational quarter, with borrowers from the country raising more than $10.2bn in the market — the highest total in history. But with its central bank short of reserves and its currency struggling to hold on to its gains, a cap in hand visit to the IMF may be around the corner, and Turkish issuers’ best funding days may be behind them.
  • The European Central Bank, as the bank supervisor, has a clear mandate to maintain a bank as a going concern, but that is not necessarily positive for covered bonds. The forthcoming European covered bond directive may help mitigate these concerns — but it is not guaranteed.
  • China seems ready to cut coal from what is acceptable to fund under its green bond standards, caving to the demands of sustainable investing experts. This about-face is a big and positive move for global green financing efforts, but raises questions about global green standards and how the market frames discussions about what is ‘green’.
  • Last week’s tap of a KWG Group Holdings dollar bond triggered a debate between bankers about what makes for good market practice. The issuer may be an established and reputable one, but the tap was priced with the borrower still in an earnings blackout. If this sort of timing were to take hold, the Asian issuers as a whole will struggle to build a globally diversified investor base.
  • Fear of US sanctions kept Russian borrowers out of the market for much of 2018. Now they’re coming back, and investors would be well advised to get involved.
  • This year’s bull market in credit and equities stems from central banks trying to soften the blow of a downturn, rather than from expectations of actual growth. This irony cannot last, for reasons of economics, policy and politics.