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Little green men could be closer than they appear
Scrutiny of regulatory proposals by those without securitization expertise is a feature, not a bug
Weak or half-hearted response to Greenland threats will leave markets crumbling
Over the last week the US president has pushed to make homes and consumer credit more affordable but these policies risk unintended consequences
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Equity investors who base their trading on the daily news flow emanating from the US and China, are going to have to accept the possibility that the relationship between the two countries will sour. -
Investors are clear that president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is once again to blame for another tumultuous week in Turkish assets. The country’s fate in the capital markets is in his hands. Investors have been quick to forgive in the past but their patience is not infinite.
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Thanks to a lawsuit in the US, the question of whether leveraged loans are securities or not appears to be on the table. The challenge points to a gap in the regulation of modern capital markets that needs filling in.
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A handful of Chinese property companies have returned to the offshore loan market for new borrowings in the past few weeks, after having difficulties with fundraising in second half of 2018. With no guarantee that conditions will get any more favourable, the rest of the sector should act quickly to refinance their deals in the market.
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Turkey’s national election board has cancelled the results of the Istanbul mayoral race that president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s ruling party lost in March and ordered a rerun. This is widely thought of internationally as a blow to democracy, and in Istanbul citizens have taken to the streets in protest. But Erdoğan’s behaviour has been so unpredictable in the past year that there is hope the rerun in June will be free and fair enough for investors to breathe easy. It seems a bet made more in hope than expectation.
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Equity investors are too complacent about the prospects of the wheels coming off of trade talks between China and the US. Such optimism could wreck equity capital markets for the year if negotiations sour,
