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Inflation caused by war threatens budding recovery in commercial real estate
Renewables can make Europe’s capital markets less vulnerable to energy price shocks
The market-shutting crisis this spring is very different to that which followed last year's US tariffs
Borrowers from the Gulf region have a track record of remarkable primary market prints
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  • The US Treasury is considering issuing 50 or 100 year bonds. It's not the only sovereign looking into whether the time is right to take advantage of investors' desperation for yield by locking in low rates with ultra-long dated funding. Indeed, this could be the dawning of the golden age of the ultra-long government bond.
  • China unveiled a new benchmark rate, the loan prime rate (LPR), for loans this week. While hailed as a groundbreaking step towards making its benchmark lending rate more market-driven, the mechanism for determining the LPR in fact grants the central bank more control over the country’s interest rates.
  • China’s securities firms are about to be subject to an alarming rule that will limit their capacity to provide independent research. The decision to grade firms on their ability to manage the reputation of China and guide public opinion is a big step back for the country’s financial system.
  • Burford Capital, the litigation funder, is under pressure over how it accounts for an obscure type of asset and how it finances its business using debt. In many respects it is a unique case, but it is a debacle fuelled by quantitative easing. With more of that on the way, pushing investors into ever more esoteric asset classes in the quest for yield, there will be plenty more businesses under scrutiny.
  • Recession fears are rising again as GDP slows, global trade tensions rise and overvalued stock markets become more volatile. Big tech should take advantage of high price to earnings ratios to raise equity capital now and to prepare for tougher days ahead.
  • The syndicated loan market is undergoing a transformation. Borrowers are growing in sophistication and artificial intelligence is creeping into the syndication process. It's time lenders faced a reality check: get with the programme, or get gone.